The governor of (Republicans), the mayor of, (), and the senator (-PR) lead the disputes for the governments of their states in 2026, according to Genial/Quaest poll released on Thursday (21). The institute also measured voting intentions in Minas Gerais, Bahia, Rio Grande do Sul, Pernambuco and Goiás.
In São Paulo, Tarcisio appears with 43% of voting intentions. The vice president () has 21%, the federal deputy () 8%, former mayor of Santo André and state president of PSDB, Paulo Serra, 3%, and former presidential Felipe D’Avila (Novo), 2%. White, null and those who say do not vote add up to 16%, and 7% are undecided.
In Rio de Janeiro, Paes leads with 35%. Rodrigo Bacellar (União Brasil) appears with 9%, Washington Reis (MDB) with 5%, Monica Benício (PSOL) with 4%and Italo Marsili (without party) with 2%. Whites and nulls reach 30%, and 15% do not know.
In Paraná, Moro has 38%. Paulo Eduardo Martins (New) records 8%, Enio Verri () 7%and Guto Silva (PSD) 6%. Whites and nulls reach 28%, and 13% are undecided.
In Minas Gerais, Senator Cleitinho (Republicans) leads with 28%. Alexandre Kalil (without party) appears with 16%, Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD) with 9%and deputy governor Mateus Simões (new) with 4%. White and null add up 26%, and 17% do not know.
In Bahia, (União Brasil) has 41%, followed by the governor (PT), with 34%. João Roma () marks 4%, Kleber Rosa (PSOL) 2%and former federal deputy José Halleluia 1%. Whites and nulls reach 14%, and 4% do not know.
In Pernambuco, the mayor of Recife, (PSB), leads with 55%. The governor (PSD) appears with 24%, Gilson Machado (PL) with 6%and Eduardo Moura (new) with 4%. White and null is 7%, and 4% do not know.
In Rio Grande do Sul, Federal Deputy Lieutenant Colonel Zucco (PL) appears with 21%, Edegar Pretto (PT) with 20%, Gabriel Souza (MDB) with 11%and Felipe Camozzato (new) with 4%. White and null add up to 20%, and 19% do not know.
In Goiás, Daniel Vilela (MDB) has 26%, Marconi Perillo (PSDB), 22%, Wilder Morais (PL), 10%, Adriana Accorsi (PT), 8%, and Telêmaco Brandão (new), 1%. White and null add up to 19%, and 14% do not know.
The survey was conducted from 13 to 17 August, with 10,146 in -person interviews. Error margins are three percentage points for all states, except São Paulo, where it is two points. The study is funded by the great investment.
Most voters say they prefer that the next governor is independent, nor the bolsonaro, with rates that reach 60% in Rio Grande do Sul and range between 54% and 59% in Sao Paulo, Minas, Rio, Paraná and Goiás. In Pernambuco, there is a technical tie between independence (44%) and alliance with Lula (40%).
Bahia (40%) is also among those who defend the most aligned governors to the petista. Already the desire for an ally of is stronger in Goiás (30%), Paraná (27%) and Rio de Janeiro (24%).
In August, the highest approval rate among governors is (Union Brazil-GO), with 88%, compared to 9% disapproval. At the other end, Claudio Castro (PL-RJ) has 43% approval and 41% disapproval.
Ratinho Junior (PSD-PR) records 84% approval and 12% disapproval. In São Paulo, Tarcísio de Freitas has 60% approval and 29% disapproval. In Bahia, Jerônimo Rodrigues marks 59% to 33%; In Minas Gerais, Romeu Zema (New) 55% to 35%; in Rio Grande do Sul, (PSD) 58% to 38%; and in Pernambuco, Raquel Lyra 51% to 45%.
The research also measured the evaluation of the performance of governors, Lula and Jair Bolsonaro in the face of the tariffs imposed by the United States. State heads performed better evaluated in Goiás (59% positive) and Paraná (52%).
Lula had higher rates of positive evaluation in Bahia (55%) and Pernambuco (49%). Bolsonaro, in Goiás (33%) and Paraná (29%).
