Government members (PT) and the (Supreme Court) consider the possibility of applying new economic sanctions against Brazil and other restrictions on authorities in the country with the judgment of the former president (), which begins in September.
In the assessment of ministers, there is US interest in creating instability around the Court and the Lula administration, which could intensify with the advancement of J led by Bolsonaro.
Although all these characters claim that there is no possibility that the Supreme Court bends to these pressures, the beginning of the trial and the possible condemnation of Bolsonaro are cited as elements of greater tension within an environment that has already become conflicted.
Trump government pressure, from the punishments to STF ministers, is made with the argument that Bolsonaro is persecuted by the judiciary in Brazil, for the benefit of the Lula administration.
Ministers say they believe that Americans have other tools available, such as that can be used during the judgment process as a form of intimidation to ministers – which point that this type of action will have no effect on the process.
These authorities emphasize Trump’s bliced profile and pockets, but other wings of the government and the STF will feed, on the other hand, the expectation that the US President review the imposition of surcharge on Brazilian products.
This bet gained adherents after the leakage of dialogues in which Bolsonaro and allies discuss the joint action with the US government to obtain the former president’s amnesty at the expense of threats to the Brazilian economy. In some of the conversations, (PL-SP) points out.
Within the government, the belief in the eventual retreat of Trump is minority. Two ministers of Lula heard by Sheet They try to minimize the impacts of financial sanctions against Alexandre de Moraes determined by Trump management. They point out that few members of the Court have goods in the US, such as real estate or investments.
Still, behind the scenes, ministers seek contact with bankers and politicians to evaluate the practical effects of magnitsky law and try to contain the results of any new sanctions.
In addition to, government members fear the economic impact of the Minister’s recent decision, of the STF, that they are valid only in Brazil if confirmed by the Court.
Expressed in a decision on the breach of the Mariana Dam (MG), it was interpreted as a possibility for the court to punish banks who apply against the minister by determination of the Trump government.
Tuesday (19) —Dia following the decision of Dino-was marked by driven by. Lula’s direct collaborators accompany with apprehension the escalation of tension between STF and the US government.
In the words of a minister, there is a great risk to the extent, and the president himself would be sensitive to it. But the government cannot interfere with an STF decision.
Government members cite the alignment between Dino, Moraes and the minister in the discourse in defense of national sovereignty as proof of this impossibility of interference. They also remember that Moraes himself during an interview last Tuesday (19).
Regarding risks, governors cite as an example that the reserves of financial institutions are in dollars and even warn of the exit of US investors under pressure from the US Treasury Department.
This assessment contrasts with recent post by Minister Gleisi Hoffmann of the Secretariat of Institutional Relations. In the publication on his networks, Gleisi said he returned to blame the Bolsonaro family for Trump’s retaliation to the country. Bolsonaro’s trial is used by the American as a justification for economic sanctions to the country.
“Speculation with the value of banks’ shares is another portion of the Bolsonaro cost, which falls on the country since he allied himself with Trump to escape trial for his crimes,” Gleisi published.
The minister says she sees Trump as an aggressor of the Brazilian financial system, encouraged by Bolsonaro. “Who assaulted the financial system in Brazil was Donald Trump, provoked by Jair Bolsonaro and his son Eduardo. Minister Flávio Dino made a decision in defense of national sovereignty, our laws and even the banks operating in our country,” he wrote.
Gleisi’s speech is supported by a government wing, adept at the thesis that Dino’s statement only translates the rule that, to be applied in Brazil, the decision of a foreign court must be validated by the Brazilian court.
Moraes had at least one bank in Brazil since the imposition of sanctions by the government of.
The minister was sanctioned in July with the application of magnitsky law, a device of American legislation used to impose economic sanctions against individuals involved in corruption or violations of.
Through the law, the US government determines the freezing of any good or asset that the sanctioned person has in the United States and can also ban US financial entities from doing dollar operations with them.
The possibility of the sanction being extended to other ministers and their relatives has worried members of the Court and the Government.
