A relationship that frozen after a deadly conflict high in the Himalayas five years ago seems to be thawed. Responsible for this seems to be and his.
For the first time since 2018, the Indian Prime Minister will travel to China this week. He will attend a summit hosted by Chinese leader Xi Jing. The visit comes after 50% of Trump’s imposition by Trump on imports from India.
No one can know the result of the meeting. He points out that the two leaders could now give their hands, giving priority to financial stability over consolidated rivalry.
Together with Monty, leaders from Russia, Pakistan, Iran and Central Asia will meet this weekend.
The nightmare scenario for Trump
India’s presence at the event testifies to re -hesitating relations between the two countries. This development threatens to cancel US long -term efforts to cultivate New Delhi as a counterweight to the rising and increasingly dynamic China.
The defrosting of India and China’s fragile relationship has already worried analysts in the US. Trump’s “First America” doctrine can make India and China create a partnership.
It is a given that the duties imposed by Trump in India were a blow to Monty. The two leaders seemed to have built their own communication channel during the first term of the US president.
The US has bet on reinforcing strategic links with India. The goal was to deal with an increasingly dynamic China in the Indo-Pacific region. However, Trump’s duties seem to put a burlap in this effort.
India’s loss would be “the worst result” for the US, CNN said analysts. Following the meeting between Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Prime Minister Monti in New Delhi last week, the two sides recognized recent improvements in their tense relationships.
“India-China relations have made steady progress in view of respecting each other’s interests and sensitivities.”said the Indian leader.
How have India -China’s relationships changed
The course of India-China relations has evolved from a post-colonial brotherhood to modern strategic rivalry. India was one of the first countries to conclude diplomatic relations with the People’s Republic of China in 1950.
That decade was characterized by a common vision of Asian solidarity. This budding friendship, however, was dissolved by the Sino-Indian War of 1962. A brief but violent conflict that created a legacy of deep mistrust and a unresolved border dispute.
In the following decades, countries’ leaders took steps to build economic links. This resulted in an increase in bilateral trade. However, the deadly conflicts in the Gallo Valley in 2020 – which left at least 20 Indians and four Chinese soldiers dead – violently overturned this balance.
Last October there was a gradual normalization of relations between India and China. The occasion was the meeting of Monty and Si on the sidelines of the BRICS Summit in Russia.
The two sides began again the direct flights that stopped after the Covid pandemic. Beijing recently agreed to reopen two places of pilgrimage to Western Tibet for the Indians. In addition, the two countries began to re -issue tourist visas for their citizens.
The course to stability
Last year, China was India’s second largest commercial partner after the US. According to data from the Indian Ministry of Commerce, bilateral trade among them reached $ 118 billion.
India depends on China not only for end products such as electronics, but also for basic intermediate products and raw materials that supply its own industries. However, this economic transaction “lives” in the shadow of a tense military reality.
Mody and Si talks will take place at a time when the troops of the two countries are developed on their controversial borders. This unsolved conflict remains the main obstacle to rebuilding confidence between the two countries.
Last week, the two sides agreed to 10 points of consensus on their border issue. It remains to be seen how this agreement will evolve.
