Bolsonarism has always been the scene of fratricidal disputes. Many of which resulted in numerous purges. But now the conflicts have reached another level. With a short time left to the beginning of the trial, it makes clear its intention to provoke a real crack.
President of the Liberal Party (), said that “if Tarcisio is a candidate for the presidency, it will be for the PL.” In response, Eduardo Bolsonaro announced that if the governor of Sao Paulo joins the acronym, the Bolsonaro family will look for another caption.
For Eduardo, only family members would be reliable to continue Jair Bolsonaro’s political legacy. The other politicians with an eye on their estate should be seen with suspicion because in their view there would be a process to “erase” the Bolsonaro family from the political scene.
Tarcisio replied by stating that if he was elected president, his to Jair Bolsonaro. However, the probability that Jair Bolsonaro will be saved by a presidential pardon is almost null. Just remember the case of the then pocket deputy Daniel Silveira.
Silveira was convicted of in 2022 for threat to the rule of law and coercion in the course of the process. The 8-year-old sentence and 9 months in prison originated in the release of a video in which he attacked STF ministers, defended the closure of the Supreme and asked for a new AI-5.
At the time, Jair Bolsonaro granted a pardon to Silveira, but his arrest was unanimously maintained by the Supreme Court. This is Jair Bolsonaro to be denied too. Especially considering that the crimes for which Bolsonaro will be tried are more serious and his sentence may exceed 40 years in prison.
Hence the pressure of pockets by the impeachment of Via Senate. However, there are several obstacles. Only the Senate president can decide whether or not to accept an impeachment request from an STF minister. If you accept, the opinion needs a simple majority (41 votes) to approve. However, the final decision must be confirmed by two thirds (54 votes).
In early August, 41 senators have already positioned themselves in favor of the impeachment of Moraes. Nevertheless, David Alcolumbre announced that he should not guide the theme. Still, there would be 13 votes to reach the 54 necessary. Hence the concentrated effort of the pockets to elect the maximum senators in 2026. Which will not be easy.
Next year, the Senate will renew 54 chairs, two per state. To achieve the goal of having two thirds of the house, os, more than 70% of the total. The crack that has been promoted by Eduardo Bolsonaro makes the feat even more difficult.
Not happy to nullify her own political future and harm her father’s process, Eduardo Bolsonaro threatens the influence of the family and weakens pockets by wanting to take the lead by Jair alone. Loses the far right, wins Brazil.
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