Impact on achieving the goals set by its commitment to increase defense spending on the treatment of the Russian threat and for European security, is expected – according to experts – to have the political turmoil caused by his decision with his support to seek a vote.
Concern that the political crisis will delay investment in defense
According to Politico, the scenario that is particularly concerned about the experts is that of the fall of the Bairo government, which is the predominant one, as this development is expected to slow down the processes that have been initiated to meet France to its obligations.
As Giyom Lagan, a defense policy expert and a professor at Sciences Po, said in the European Media: There is a question of strategic communication. We do not convey the right message to our antagonists or to our allies. Our allies move on with the strengthening of their army, while we do not. “
This concern was also publicly expressed by French Defense Minister Sebastian Lekorny, who, when he was asked a question, isly a bit heartbreaking question: “Once again, uncertainty is prevalent.”
Macron promises get postponement
As Politico notes in July, Macron promised that France would increase defense spending to 64 billion euros in 2027. His promise came a few weeks after NATO allies pledged to increase their 5% defense spending.
The French president had pledged that his government would present to Parliament in the fall a revision of the seven -year law on military planning to include increases in spending. The bill, which is not yet ready, is inevitable to delay it to be submitted to the National Assembly if France needs to change the government or even hold new early elections – options that remain on the table.
“The increases in the defensive budget announced by President Macron, which were accepted by the majority of the political order, still depend on parliament voting: therefore they are de facto uncertain, Berdran de Courtou said in
However, for her part, Helen Conway-Moure, a Socialist Senator participating in the Defense and Foreign Affairs Committee, said that “no one will dare to touch the commitments made because they are existential”. This statement emphasizes that the increase in defense spending is indeed accepted by a wide range of political forces and therefore the concern that valuable time will be lost due to the new political crisis is so diffuse.