President’s allies (PT) fear that the covenant that parties from the centron sew around a right -wing candidacy to 2026 impair the government’s agenda until the end of the term.
The fear is that, united around () (), group parliamentarians join the bolsonarism and brake the executive’s agenda, especially the exemption of for those who earn up to $ 5,000.
This week, the domes of the Progressives () and. The subtitles determined that “holders of mandate” leave their positions on the terrace until the 30th, at risk of expulsion. The movement occurred in the middle.
Governors recognize that the departure of these two parties can make it difficult to approve projects, – two more than half.
A sample of the effects of the landing was seen in the Senate, when senators of the PP and União Brasil voted against the PEC (Proposed Amendment to the Constitution) that creates new rules for precatory. The proposal, which allows the government an extra expense of R $ 12.4 billion in 2026, was approved with the minimum number of votes necessary.
In addition, members of the government fear that the agenda runs over, as the debate makes it impossible to progress in other matters in the plenary.
There is also an assessment between the president’s allies that center parties can act against the government’s agenda, precisely to prevent the petista from having electoral gains with these measures, especially in the case of income tax exemption.
Lula’s assistants point out that this break could serve as a raw material for a discourse to combat privileges. The strategy would be to show that, instead of approving IR exemption to millions of Brazilians, Tarcisio supporters prioritize amnesty to involved in undemocratic acts, which culminated in the depredation of the headquarters of the three powers in Brasilia.
The idea would be to reinforce that the pockets maintain their political interests above nationals, such as the manifest support for economic sanctions imposed by the Donald Trump government on Brazil.
In Congress, government articulators already admit, under reservations, that the mayor, (Republicans-PB), must succumb to the pressure to include the amnesty on the agenda. The effort will now be to convince him to lead the IR to vote project before the amnesty, on the grounds that the approval of a popular measure will be important for the image of the House and the motta himself.
IR’s proposal, but has not advanced since then. It still needs to be voted in the House Plenary before going to the.
Lula’s allies evaluate that, by prioritizing amnesty to the detriment of IR, Motta would be empowering during a rebellion in the plenary – which, so far ,.
In addition, they say that the center, when embarking on the amnesty debate, supports an unpopular measure and generates more wear to the image of Congress as a whole. In recent weeks, they have been the target of proposed criticism that were under discussion in Parliament, such as A, which gives Congress power to block any investigation and process against parliamentarians.
In the plateau, the orientation will be opposed to the amnesty. The evaluation of allies of Lula and the president himself is that the approval of this proposal would be a radical right victory and the country in response to Bolsonaro’s trial in the STF.
An ally from Lula evaluates that today the main agenda of pockets is amnesty. The approval of this project, therefore, would give the group an important political victory, on the eve of the.
PT leader in the House, Lindbergh Farias (RJ) states that this vote will be a watershed for the government, a risk on the ground. “The government has a commitment to defend the democratic institutions, the Supreme Court. The deputy who vote for urgency will be opting for the departure of the government,” he said.
In political meetings and public activities, Lula has manifested himself against amnesty. On Thursday (4), he appealed for popular mobilization against the proposal.
“We are now seeing the fake patriots in the US asking for President Trump’s intervention in Brazil. The guys who campaigned in the national flag, saying they were patriots, are now wrapped in the American flag, asking Trump to intervene in Brazil,” said the petista on Thursday (4) in conversation with leaders and influencers of the periphery in.
“Now, another thing we have to know: if we are going to vote for Congress, we risk amnesty. Congress, you know, is not a congress elected by the periphery. Congress has helped the government, the government approved almost everything the government wanted, but it has a lot of strength. So it’s a battle that has to be done by the people,” he added.
In Centrão, the strategy will be for the conclusion of this debate later this year, not to contaminate the 2026 electoral calendar. The tactic is so that thorny themes, such as economic sanctions and amnesty for those who attached to democracy, to be far from the dispute so that Tarcisio or other right candidate are not required to justify themselves for voters.
