‘The Step’ asked him JeanProfessor at Sciences Po University in Paris, to analyze the possible solutions in front of O.
How could France get out of the deadlock?
“Since it is almost certain that he will not receive a vote of confidence, President Macron will have to appoint a new prime minister to set up a government according to the possible alliances within the National Assembly, or to find a technocrat that will not be rejected by the parliamentary majority. The third chance is to try again to impose a personality from his own camp, but that doesn’t seem to be able to work. “
Why did Macron failed in the two previous prime ministers, Michel Barnier and François Bairou?
“With Barnier he was wrong. He believed that he could build a classic center -right alliance, but did not last. And after he did not last, Bairou was imposed on Macron by saying, “Without my party you can do nothing, so you take me or the chaos.”
Are new parliamentary elections out of discussion?
“They ask them (former president) Nicolas Sarkozy, but it’s the last solution. If the next government collapses because it will not be able to pass the budget, then there is no other solution but a dismantling of the House. But if we were going to the elections now, according to last week’s polls, we would have had the same results, with the (far -right) national gathering coming out a long one, but far from the absolute majority, a strong block from the left and a relative collapse.
Since political parties have not yet been able to understand each other, what makes you believe that they will talk to a socialist or technocratic prime minister?
“I, personally, as a citizen, am very pessimistic. Simply, as a politicalist, I can imagine such a solution. It would be a government that would not have the support of Melanson’s disobedient France, on the contrary. The best she could hope for is that the disobedient France would not make a censure suggestion. If he did that, then he could stand, otherwise not. “
The Bloquons Tout movement, which organizes a general strike on Wednesday, is popular?
“The strike will be annoying to the economy, but in fact the movement is very minority. which, at first, were not party. They came from small cities, the province … Bloquons Tout started from social networks, but very quickly incorporated by disobedient France. Next Wednesday there will be strikes in factories, perhaps roads and ports are blocked, but it will not have the size of the yellow vests.
But, it will create a climate of economic, social and political insecurity. Thus, Macron will be obliged, within the same week, to appoint a new prime minister. “
Why do most Frenchmen seem to want to do any financial sacrifice while politicians seem to not want to work together? This behavior seems a little incomprehensible.
“It’s complicated, it’s more of a matter of social psychology. Class tensions were never as strong as today. Economic and social inequalities are extremely intense. The super-rich were never so rich and never had as much profits as Macron’s election. This has split the French society while adding a kind of generational war, where young people no longer want to pay the pensions of the older ones.
At the same time, purchasing power has been greatly reduced, there is a clear fall in the standard of living. The reason the majority of the French are not prepared to make more sacrifices is that they believe that it is already doing too many. If the distribution was more fair in society, they might have been more easily accepted. “
