Survey shows the president ahead of names like Bolsonaro, Tarcisio de Freitas and Michelle Bolsonaro
GENIAL RESEARCH/QUEST released this Thursday (18.SET.2025) indicates that the president (PT) leads in all scenarios tested. In the first round, the chief executive appears with percentages of 32% to 43% of voting intentions.
The most competitive to go to the 2nd round would be the former president (PL), who is ineligible; former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro (PL); and the governor of São Paulo, (Republicans).
Quaest listened to 2,004 people from 16 or older, from 12 to 14 September 2025. The reliability level is 95% and the margin of error is 2 percentage points for more or less. The research was commissioned by the great investment. Here is (PDF – 8 MB).
Here’s the scenarios tested for the 1st round:
In the eventual 2nd round, Lula wins by difference that goes from 8 percentage points, against Tarcísio, to 19 percentage points, against the governor of Rio Grande do Sul (PSD).
Here’s the scenarios tested for the 2nd round:
Research aggregator
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