Allies of () evaluate that he would be in accordance with a penalty reduction project, as long as there was a guarantee of maintenance of house arrest. They say the former president is weakened and wants to avoid going to a closed regime as much as possible.
Resather, at least four Bolsonaro interlocutors say that the final word about how its supporters will act in Congress will be his and say that after the conviction of 27 years and three months in prison, the former president will not want to risk.
PL orientation has still been to continue seeking a broad and general amnesty, because that would be Bolsonaro’s plan. If it is not possible to change the report of (Solidarity-SP), the idea is to try to approve a prominence in the plenary.
But the expectation is that there will be a favorable vote of the party to the text reduction text, whose articulation has been made by the mayor himself, (-PB).
Motta was elected with the support of the PL and the promise to Bolsonaro that would guide the proposal. However, he follows his mandate trying to balance himself between pockets and governors, being criticized on both sides.
Bolsonaro’s allies admit to being increasingly unlikely the broad amnesty, which contemplates all convicts in the scammer attacks of January 8 and the former president himself.
The assessment is that PL deputies should insist until the last moment in discourse and articulation, but behind the scenes, Bolsonaro interlocutors operate with alternative scenarios.
In one of them, he, due to the reduction of penalty, his 70 years and the health condition, even a possible election of right-wing candidate in 2026 who can grant him a pardon.
The former president is under house arrest because of the precautions imposed in the inquiry on coercion to the judiciary in the offensive of Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL) with the Donald Trump government.
Bolsonaro’s defense asked the minister of (Supreme Federal Court) because the complaint of (Attorney General’s Office), released on Monday (22), did not include the former president among the accused.
In addition to this legal factor, the main argument of allies to try to avoid the closed regime is the. The strategy has been publicly reinforcing, whenever possible, his situation.
The former president suffers crises of constant hiccup, with vomiting. Last week, he had a drop in pressure and malaise, which motivated an hospitalization in Brasilia on September 16 and 17. In addition, Bolsonaro displays a discouragement that resembles a depressive picture, according to allies.
What they argue is that if the former president goes to a prison or even the PF jail, he may end up dying.
The defense will appeal to the Supreme Court against the conviction for the coup plot, but the appeals must be exhausted later this year. Any prison is expected to be prison to take place after that.
Paulinho da Força’s text is not ready yet – and it is also unknown if there will be agreement to reach the plenary. Like the Sheet He showed, he is considering making the benefit for those who attached democracy more restricted, in a wave on the left at the time when there is an impasse, with PT and PL contrary to the measure.
Paulinho says that all convicts, including Bolsonaro, would be contemplated with their project, as the text must deal with changes in the Penal Code – that would be back to everyone.
He met with PL members on Tuesday (23) to discuss the proposal. “It was clear that the PL, as a whole, that the narrative of penalty reduction, the dosimetry does not meet. (…) We will ask to guide the text we understand to be correct, amnesty, and those parties who understand to be opposed, vote against. But the text is not invented,” said the opposition leader, Zucco (PL-RS).
The text of the amnesty to the convicts of January 8, which the pockets want to approve, was reported by Deputy Rodrigo Valadares (União Brasil-SE), who was with Bolsonaro on Wednesday afternoon (24), authorized by Moraes.
HAS Sheet He said the former president is aware of the difficulties on the subject, but said the bench will seek to approve the highlights.
“The president is aware of the struggle. He knows what we are facing. We don’t have the rapporteur we dreamed, we wanted. What we approved was the urgency to [o projeto da] amnesty. But we have to deal with the reality that is imposed, “he said.
“I can’t say that it had guidance [do Bolsonaro]It was another chat. We talk about seeking to win in the highlight [de plenário]have this mobilization of our base, “he added.
PL leader (RJ) was on Monday with the former president. As he left his home, he said that they have the same thought on the subject: “It is not up to Congress to make dosimetry, it is up to the judiciary.”
“For us, there is only one agenda: we seek to vote amnesty for all wronged pseudogolpe,” he added.