This Saturday night, after a month of procedural waiting, Germany, France and the United Kingdom —The three signatory European countries of the Iranian nuclear agreement of 2015– They activate its enormous mechanism international sanctions contra Iranraised when that historic pact was reached ten years ago.
For months, the three European countries and Tehran They have starred negotiations to avoid this imposition. The talks, however, have not paid off. Then we break down The keys of Iranian nuclear negotiations, and the future of a conflict whose tension is only increasing.
After the, in which Israel destroyed almost all The military and scientific dome Iranian in full, negotiations between Tehran and Washington about the Iranian nuclear program were dead.
The Islamic Republic also blocked the entry of inspectors of the International Organization for Atomic Energy (OIEA)who was accused of Iran of complicity with Tel Aviv. The OIEA, however, claimed at all times that they could not be in any case military objective: Israel attacked them at discretion.
Since then, France, Germany and the United Kingdom have claimed two major points to Iran to avoid the imposition of sanctions, a mechanism that allows the 2015 nuclear agreement, which expires this year. Paris, Berlin and London They asked, in exchange for an extension of six months, which Tehran allowed the free entry of the Inspectors from the OIEA to all its nuclear facilities, and that showed its official commitment to return to the negotiating table with the US executive of Donald Trump. Neither of the two points has been fulfilled by Iran. The sanctions arrive this weekend, at twelve o’clock this Saturday to Sunday.
The six packages of sanctions imposed during 2006 and 2010 against Iran, which will now be valid again. Include a Total weapons embargothe prohibition of any type of Uranium enrichmentthe prohibition of testing, buying and selling technology from intercontinental ballistic missilesthe freezing and taking of all heritage and bank accounts that they will be abroad and, finally, the authorization of Inspection of all commercial traffic from and to the Islamic Republic.
The hardness of these measures is enormous, and will push even more the Persian country to the International Autarchy and Isolationnow barely broken by Tehran’s military cooperation with Russia and the sale of its oil to China.
The General Assembly of the United Nations Organization (UN), on September 24 / Angel Colmenares Efe
Iran has called for consultations to its ambassadors in France, Germany and the United Kingdom, and although Tehran assures that the diplomacy route has not died, they will accept that it has remained Very touched.
“The US betrayed diplomacy [con su apoyo a Israel y el ataque estadounidense contra la central nuclear iraní de Fordow]but European countries have buried it. The sanctions are Illegal, empty And they make sense. Diplomacy will never die, but it will now be much more difficult and more complicated than before, ”he said Friday, after a failed vote in the UN Security Council To postpone the sanctions, Iranian Foreign Minister, Abbás araghchi.
Given the reactivation of the sanctions, thus, a return to it is not expected to reach an agreement that certifies that they will go, with their enriched uranium, does not seek the atomic bomb.
When the 12 -day war between Israel and Iran ended, the American billiona Iranian nuclear programdespite a preliminary report of the Pentagonwhich assured that the damage had not been so great.
The reality, however, only knows Iran: Tehran has not allowed the OIEA researchers to access its attacked centrals, and there is no information regarding what percentage of enriched uranium still has the Islamic Republic. Before June Iran had enough enriched uranium to 60% as to build several pumps in a matter of months (for a pump an enriched uranium is necessary at levels higher than the 90%). According to experts, however, Iran was still far from having achieved enough development to set up an atomic bomb on the head of a ballistic missile.
Thus, the horizon is uncertain, and without negotiations in sight and a hermetic Iran, many fear in the region a possible repetition of the conflict and bombings of an Israel that is increasingly seen as a state “in lack of control.”
“We managed to end a black cloud that could have taken the lives of millions of people, but we must keep vigilant,” said Friday before the United Nations General Assembly Israeli primer, Benyamín Netanyahuwhich continued: “We cannot allow them to rebuild their nuclear facilities or their enriched uranium stocks. We must eliminate these stocks, whatever.”
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