Did not democracy survive for a triz? – 09/28/2025 – Marcus Melo

by Andrea
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Were it not for the award -winning denunciation of we would not have become aware of the plan and actions associated with one. The blow was aborted endogenously. The institutions to which we associate the defense of democracy have not fulfilled any direct role in controlling these actions. The survival of democracy did not take place directly from their actions.

The “direct” and “direct” qualification in previous sentences is critical.

The idea of ​​resistance to processes of setback or erosion of democracy does not apply, therefore, to the aborted plan. There is not apparently a similar record in the literature on what is called Democratic Backslinging. It has a place typically through cumulative actions in a gray zone of legality or open violation of institutional rules by incumbent.

The situation is distinct in the case in which he acted in the president’s initiatives and his party to delegitimize the electoral process and which resulted in electoral disqualification and unpublished fines.

Or when it sustained him from the Executive. The idea of ​​resistance and control thus presupposes contemporary action and reaction to abuse. The strength of the institutions proves to be simultaneously.

The same goes to some extent to punishments. Ex -post punishment of rulers when they no longer exert power is a weak form of liability; Concomitant control is its robust form. Obviously the punishments same ex post has an impact on the incentive structure. And so they matter.

To say that the coup was aborted endogeneously does not mean that it was the product of individual decisions of generals. Or it was for a triz.

Institutional, social and strategic factors are decisive: a hyperminorial president in both houses was contained by a strong and autonomous legislature (regardless of the judgment that can be done in relation to their actions); not by individuals. And reasonably professionalized military personnel in a picture where there are no credible geopolitical risks, associated with, as in the past.

This adds a complex civil society and business and political elites mostly contrary to the fracture of the political order.

The trial illuminates the role of individual actors serving to criminal liability, but has little value to the comparative analysis of survival in the country. Decisions made by an actor acquire meaning according to the context. For example, in poor countries with weak institutions, without democratic experience, and weak civil society, they have entirely distinct meaning where these parameters are others, as in Brazil. The strategic calculation of the actors indirectly reflects the context.

As I have already argued in the column, if the individual non -adherence to a blow is due to the risk involved; Its low probability of success and therefore fear of future punishment; or the normative preferences for the democracy of some key actors; The non -event (the death of) is the result that matters. What’s more, the non -consummation of the adventure does not imply that it would have been successful.


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