France again before the abyss: keys to Lecornu’s resignation and possible scenarios to avoid political chaos

by Andrea
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El Periódico

France Try to wake up from a nightmare that lasts months and that seems to have reached its most critical point after the surprise resignation of the prime minister, Sébastien Lecornu, just 27 days after his appointment.

His resignation has generated a hurricane of indignation and has placed Emmanuel Macron in front of one of the worst political crises that are remembered in the country. He already warned a few weeks ago, the Francoargelino political scientist Yourself In an interview for the newspaper: “The misfortune is that in France we have not had a party or a politician that can have a vision capable of proposing a great project. France has become not only a country into an economic crisis, but something much more serious, in a country without project and hopeless.”

Today, again without prime minister or government, France seeks exits to stop the instability policy that threatens to plunge the country into an institutional paralysis.

Already turned into The most ephemeral minister in the history of FranceLecornu wanted to explain to the French the reason for their resignation. For the boss of the outgoing executive, “They did not meet the conditions to continue in office”having “tried to build a path with the social interlocutors, the employer forces and the forces that represent workers’ unions, especially in issues that have been blocked for many weeks.”

From the stairs of the Elysee Palace and with defeat countenance, Lecornu denounced the partisan desire of certain political formations before the proximity of the Presidential electionslaunching a dart to whom many believe is the culprit of this new crisis: the leader of Republicans, Bruno Retailleau.

After being chosen for the third time as Minister of the Interior, Retailleau launched a criticism of the new executive on Sunday night, generating its own implosion: “The composition of the government does not reflect the promised breakup,” he criticized through the social network X, denouncing A “trust problem” with the cabinet.

A criticism that apparently broke with the alliance between macronism and the conservative party and, together with the threat of the socialist to support one Motion of censurA, forced Lecornu to present his resignation to the president on Monday.

His departure, after only 27 days in officebreak a new record in the VA Republic and reopens the debate on a possible dissolution of the National Assembly or even the resignation of President Macron.

The French want to take a page either with a new dissolution of the National Assembly or with the resignation of the same president, which would include the celebration of legislative elections, in the first case, and presidential, in the second.

The option to take the French before the ballot box It seems the most supported by the entire parliamentary arch, including those that until now were more skeptical. For the right, the most favorable is the dissolution of the National Assembly, Although the leader ultra, Marine Le Pen, goes further and does not rule out Macron’s resignation as the “smarter” possibility.

“I ask you to dissolve the National Assembly. We are at the end of the road. There will be no more tomorrow (…) we have reached the end of the joke, the farce has already lasted too long,” said the leader of National regrouping.

For its part, Some Republicansas the mayor of Cannes, David Lisnard, also advocate for the president’s resignation: “The interests of France dictate that Emmanuel Macron schedule his resignation to preserve the institutions and unlock an inevitable situation since the absurd dissolution.”

Still this option seems the least likely. Macron has repeatedly reiterated that will not resign from office. Hence the leader of insumisa France, Jean-Luc Mélenchonask this Monday to take into the immediate consideration of The motion of dismissal against the president presented a few weeks ago by 104 deputies.

The alternative to name a new prime minister generates Little enthusiasm Among the French, tired of the political situation and fearful of anchoring the country in a waterfall of new resignations. France already has three prime ministers so far this year, and the list may not have finished.

In the event that the president refuses to take his citizens again to the polls, he has two departures: to appoint a Socialist Prime Minister the bet for A technical government.

In the case of a Left Prime MinisterMacron would give to one of the main requests of the Socialist Party, which has been said “prepared” to govern, and could avoid a new motion of censure. The second option, that of a Technical Government gains strength among analysts. It would be an executive composed of independent figures. This type of cabinet would have as its main mission to ensure the approval of the budget Before December 31, an absolute emergency to avoid the paralysis of the State and “save the situation” waiting for an institutional advance, to the presidential elections of 2027.

While France debates on which path this time will choose Macron, its citizens await impatiently for its president to pronounce as soon as possible and offer a solution that allows the country to be taken out of one of its greatest political crises in decades.

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