Government officials consider that it is equivalent to a declaration of war that has an electoral basis, especially considering that the governor (Republicans) entered the field to bury the proposal. Tarcísio denies acting and said he is focused on São Paulo issues.
The Union and PP, which form a federation, closed the issue against the provisional measure, which was expected to raise R$17 billion in 2026, the election year.
In the case of the Republicans, which has a ministry in the Lula government, the party decided to advise against the text. In the PSD, with three ministries, there is an expectation of 25 votes against the MP — the party has 45 deputies.
For government officials, the parties act to try to reduce the government’s fiscal power in 2026, in a political operation.
And this movement, they claim, includes Tarcísio himself, who, even with uncertainty about whether he will run for President in 2026, has no interest in the PT administration being strong in São Paulo next year, if he decides to run for re-election at Palácio dos Bandeirantes.
On the other hand, they say, the vote will make it even clearer who is actually part of the government’s base. In this sense, it would be better to lose the vote than to let the MP expire.
Government parliamentarians make a mea culpa and admit that the government did not make an effort to try to contain the bleeding in Congress between the vote on the urgency of the amnesty and the consideration of the provisional measure, this Wednesday (8). They recognize that the government could have made efforts to speed up the release of amendments, for example.
Despite the difficulty, government supporters claim that it is possible to use part of the items in the provisional measure in a project already sent by the Executive and which deals with interest on equity.
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