Technical draw in Lisbon or Coins advantage? It’s “too early to know”

Two of the national television projections give a slight advantage to Carlos Moedas’ candidacy in Lisbon. In two other projections, there is a “too close to call” situation: SIC does not come forward with numbers, RTP points to a draw at 37.2%.

The lists led by social democrat Carlos Moedas and socialist Alexandra Leitão are tied in the race to the Lisbon City Council in today’s local councils, according to television projections released at 8:00 p.m.

According to TVI/CNN projectionthe coalition “For you, Lisbon / Moedas 2025 / PPD/PSD.CDS-PP.IL”, by the current president of the Chamber, Carlos Moedas, should have between 36,8 e 42,0% of votes.

The Viver Lisboa / PS-L-BE-PAN coalition, headed by Alexandra Leitão, is expected to obtain between 33.7 and 38.9% of the votes — a technical tie, since the highest value of the projected votes for the PS candidate is higher than the lowest value of the projected votes for the PSD candidate.

According to the CMTV projectionthe candidacy of Carlos Moedas must collect between 37.9 and 41.9% of the votes, slightly ahead by Alexandra Leitão, with 34.8 to 38.8% — even so, in a situation of technical draw.

In the same projection, the candidacy headed by João Ferreirafrom the CDU, should be the third most voted, with 8.9 to 12.9% of the votesahead of the candidacy of Bruno Mascarenhas, from Chega, with 7.9 to 11.0%.

With the results of this projection, the lists of Carlos Moedas and Alexandra Leitão elect between 6 and 8 terms; the CDU could obtain 1 to 3 mandates, and Chega between 0 and 2.

Already the SIC projections give a situation of “too close to call“I give too much away to know. RTP projection / Universidade Católica gives an “absolute technical draw”, with projections of 37.2% of the votes for both candidacies.