Flamengo and Palmeiras will play the big game in the 29th round of the Brasileirão, this Sunday (19), at 4pm (Brasília time), at Maracanã. Despite the championship being a series of points, the duel has a “final atmosphere”.
After all, in the last five years, they will dominate the spotlight again in 2025, competing directly for the Brasileirão and Libertadores titles.
Palmeiras will enter the field as the championship leader and will not lose first place even in the event of a defeat at Maracanã. In the end, .
But, in addition to the table situation, the match can also negatively interfere with rivals — as happened in 2023, in the 30th round and.
Why doesn’t Palmeiras stop being the leader even if they lose?
The number of victories is the first tiebreaker criterion for the Brasileirão. If Flamengo wins, they will equal Palmeiras’ 58 points, with one victory less (17 against 18), but they will gain immense morale.
On the other hand, if Palmeiras wins at Maracanã, Abel Ferreira’s team will open a six-point lead, in addition to three more victories, making it very difficult for Flamengo to react, even with ten matches to play. (see list at the end of the text).
The calculation of “games to be taken”
In the current scenario of the table, Flamengo needs two positive rounds to regain the lead.
If they win the direct confrontation, for example, they can regain the top of the table in the 31st round, if they beat Fortaleza away from home and Palmeiras stumble against Cruzeiro at Allianz Parque.
If Palmeiras emerges victorious at Maracanã, the count jumps to three rounds to be played. In other words, Alviverde would have to stumble in three of the remaining games for Flamengo to overtake them, if they win those three.
In the event of a draw, the situation will remain as it is now, with Palmeiras having a two-round advantage.
Possible scenarios after Flamengo x Palmeiras
- Flamengo victory: Palmeiras and Flamengo tied with 58 points; Palmeiras leader by number of victories (18 to 17)
- Palmeiras victory: Palmeiras reaches 61 points, while Flamengo stops at 55; Palmeiras opens up three victories (19 to 16)
- Draw: Palmeiras reaches 59 points and Flamengo reaches 56; Palmeiras continues with two wins (18 to 16)
How was the 1st round game and what changed
On May 25, in the 10th round, at Allianz Parque. The score ended 2-0 for the visitors, with goals from Arrascaeta and Ayrton Lucas.
The match had penalties and controversies. See the best moments below:
Since then, a lot has changed. The teams had good campaigns in the Club World Cup and strengthened themselves in the mid-year transfer window.
Previously criticized by the fans, Abel Ferreira changed the formation and found Palmeiras with two attackers, who are going through a great phase. And he gained weight gain: .
Rubro-Negro also signed great names, such as midfielder Saúl (doubt for the game) and Samuel Lino, and Filipe Luís managed, who is enjoying a top scoring season.
Flamengo and Palmeiras remaining games in the Brasileirão
- 30th round: Fortaleza x Flamengo (10/25) and Palmeiras x Cruzeiro (10/26)
- 31st round: Flamengo x Sport (1/11) and Juventude x Palmeiras (2/11)
- 32nd round: São Paulo x Flamengo (5/11) and Palmeiras x Santos (6/11)
- 33rd round: Flamengo x Santos (9/11) and Mirassol x Palmeiras (9/11)
- delayed departures: Sport x Flamengo (15/11) and Santos x Palmeiras (15/11)
- 34th round: Fluminense x Flamengo and Atlético-MG x Palmeiras (dates to be defined)
- 35th round: Flamengo x Red Bull Bragantino and Palmeiras x Fluminense (dates to be defined)
- 36th round: Atlético-MG x Flamengo and Grêmio x Palmeiras
- 37th round: Flamengo x Ceará and Palmeiras x Vitória
- 38th round: Mirassol x Flamengo and Ceará x Palmeiras (7/12)
