The (-SP) must intensify its international agenda against the Judiciary and the Brazilian government, with the prospect that it should not return to Brazil anytime soon.
In parallel, the parliamentarian’s interlocutors say that he could support his senator brother, if his father so decides. The hammer will only be hit next year, they say.
Assessments about Eduardo Bolsonaro’s future occur in the wake of the virtual trial in the First Panel of the STF (Supreme Federal Court), which has already. The case’s rapporteur, minister Alexandre de Moraes, says he sees evidence that the deputy sought instability to pressure the STF to free the former president from conviction for the 2022 coup plot.
His allies still seek to maintain an open scenario, in which the main bet and support is for the approval of a broad amnesty in Congress. The new deadline set by the opposition is for it to be approved by February, but the parliamentarian intends to maintain the momentum, alongside businessman Paulo Figueiredo, of seeking sanctions against the Brazilian authorities.
They have already been traveling to other countries, but without publicity, for security reasons, they say. The next one will be to El Salvador, where Eduardo will go accompanied by his brother Flávio and other Bolsonarist parliamentarians to the World Security Forum, where they will learn about Nayb Bukele’s policies. Deputies such as Maurício do Vôlei (PL-MG) and Nikolas Ferreira (PL-MG) are already on site.
For fear of facing his trial in Brazil, where he could be arrested, Eduardo will remain in the United States for an indefinite period. However, he will travel to countries where the right is articulated.
Initially, Eduardo was a candidate for São Paulo, considered a guaranteed place for Bolsonarism. Bolsonaro’s priority in 2026 is to elect the largest number of senators to be able to pass possible punishments to the STF, such as, for example, the impeachment of Moraes.
Later, when his father was already under house arrest (and prevented from talking to him), Eduardo started to put himself forward as a candidate for President, in an increasingly open confrontation with the initiative of enthusiasts for the candidacy of governor Tarcísio de Freitas, of São Paulo.
The former Minister of Infrastructure has always denied wanting to leave Palácio do Planalto, but he is the main candidate from sectors of the business community and the right. He and other right-wing governors, such as Romeu Zema (Novo), from Minas Gerais, came into Eduardo’s sights, who sees a movement to bury politically.
The Bolsonarist objective of dominating the Senate was cited by Eduardo when criticizing Moraes’ vote to make him a defendant. He said that.
Minas Gerais state deputy Cristiano Caporezzo (PL), an ally of the deputy, continues to defend his name for the Presidency. “He will certainly continue fighting for President Bolsonaro’s candidacy for 2026, a context in which he would become senator for São Paulo or, if that is not possible, Eduardo will himself be a candidate for the presidency of the Republic”, he defended, vocalizing the desire of a wing of the deputy’s supporters.
“Supporting Flávio is feasible for all Bolsonarists, but saying that this will be defined now is certainly excessively anticipated. Flávio himself never signaled anything in this regard,” he said.
The end of the coup plot process should occur next week, when the analyzes and deadlines for the defense resources of the defendants, including Bolsonaro, end. The former president could be sentenced to serve a closed regime in a prison at the end of November or the beginning of December.
In the opinion of the family’s allies, who prefer to use a clan name, this will weaken Tarcísio’s name, because it will demonstrate that he was unable to reverse the arrest, despite having spoken to the STF.
From house arrest in October, the former president complained to allies about the exchange of barbs in his political group. He also selected Flávio to go to the United States to talk to his brother.
According to interlocutors, the two spoke together. The deputy told his senator brother that, if he is the candidate, he will have full support.
Enthusiasts of Flávio’s candidacy believe that he will be the only one capable of uniting centrão with root Bolsonarism. If Bolsonaro wants it that way, the announcement will only be made next year, anyway. The assessment is that any candidate who presents himself now will become the target of possible legal actions.
“The right has difficulty recognizing leadership. If you remove Jair Bolsonaro from the equation, you won’t find another leader who brings everyone together. This will go through a purification. It may be that there will be a period where the left takes advantage of this”, said Eduardo Bolsonaro, in an interview with Jovem Pan on Thursday night (13).
“I don’t mind arguing with people on the right-wing spectrum, but I’m sure that in next year’s election, regardless of who is running, wherever Lula is, I will be on the other side. What I just don’t want is for people to take a pig in a poke,” he concluded.
