Tiago Petinga / Lusa
Seguro and Ventura very close in 3rd and 4th position, and Cotrim is in double digits, on the verge of the “big ones”.
Everything is open and very close in the scenario outlined by the most recent Pythagorean survey for the 2026 presidential elections.
Luís Marques Mendes appears slightly ahead of voting intentions, with 19,7% in direct vote, surpassing Henrique Gouveia e Melo, which drops to 18.4% (loses 3.8 percentage points compared to the last survey) in the projection made for TVI and . Both remain in technical draw and stand out as the candidates best positioned to go to a possible second round, if the elections were held today.
In third place comes António José Seguro, with 15.2%. It remains technically close to the first two, followed by André Ventura, which recovers ground and rises to 12.8% (within the technical margin that brings it closer to Insurance).
But the most significant growth compared to the last Pythagorean barometer comes from João Cotrim de Figueiredo. The liberal reaches 11% and enters the pool of candidates above double digits.
Behind Cotrim are Catarina Martins, with 4.4%, followed by António Filipe, with 2.5%, and Jorge Pinto, with 1.4%. The survey also includes Aristides Teixeira and Joana Amaral Dias, both with 0.2% of intentions.
Os undecided also fall (from 17.3% to 12.7%) in this sample of 1000 telephone interviews and a maximum margin of error of 3.16%.
