The preventive arrest of () this Saturday (22) appears to have sealed the former president’s prison fate. It constitutes an extreme measure, with the air of Steven Spielberg’s 2002 film.
In it, a police unit was supplied by psychics with images of crimes that were yet to happen and took action to prevent them. On Friday (21), the senator (PL-RJ) offered a vision of the future by calling for vigils in favor of his father.
he cited a risk of escape due to a violation of the electronic ankle bracelet, which would occur during the vigil, a conjecture.
Perhaps Moraes was also worried about the risk of confrontation between supporters and the police who were going to execute Bolsonaro’s arrest order — in 2018, Lula (PT) was at the Metalworkers Union in São Bernardo surrounded by faithful, and only voluntarily left the building.
There is also the possibility that the summons triggered a cognitive trigger associated with the camps in front of barracks when the then president was defeated by the PT member in 2022, resulting in the .
As the right to demonstrate is still free according to article 5 of the Constitution, Moraes took an exception to the rule, the risk to public order, for the Federal Police headquarters in Brasilia. How to define such a danger without crowding occurring is unfathomable.
At the PF, he will await his known fate, Papuda or perhaps the house arrest that Moraes insinuates he denies with a decision carried out this Saturday. If you are at home, nothing will stop new calls for demonstrations. There is precedent, even: with a vigil outside the PF in Curitiba, without any complications.
This is not about discussing whether Moraes exaggerated, remembering the debacle caused by a system failure in Spielberg’s film, but about evaluating the political impact of the decision. In this sense, he did exactly what Senator Flávio wanted.
Bolsonarism, although it will always rely on the former president’s electoral poll numbers, is otherwise ineligible until 2030 even if he was not sentenced to 27 years for the coup plot.
The post-Bolsonaro actors move freely, a group headed by the governor (Republicanos-SP), waiting for the right time to take flight — or not, leaving the mission of facing Lula to a colleague, especially if the president is in good shape.
With the disaster of the action of the incendiary deputy (PL-SP) against Brazil in the land of Trump, it was up to Flávio to assume the mantle of the family’s presumed presidential candidate, at least at this moment.
makes it unfeasible due to the current scenario, but his voice is enough to further disrupt the bandstand of the divided opposition. Moraes gave him, by taking the bait of vigil, rhetorical oxygen to remain relevant in the game.
Of course, this came at a price, which was seeing him in state custody in an obvious way. It is standard for Bolsonaro to pay for his children’s actions, as has already occurred with the decree of house arrest. But the victimization record was used by the former president throughout the process that saw him convicted, and it will be no different in the execution of the sentence.
But from the moment Bolsonaro leaves the scene for good, this final credit provided by Moraes will be exhausted, and the countdown to the former president’s political burial will be open among his heirs, who will see his physical absence as good news.
