If it were held now, the president of the National Alarm (Rassemblement National – RN), Jordan Bardela, would comfortably prevail in the first round of , according to a Verian poll for L’Hémicycle magazine, published today.
Bardela is launching as the favorite in the first round of the 2027 presidential election, with 35.5% to 36.5% in the vote intention, maintaining a strong lead over the next two candidates, former right-wing prime minister Edouard Philippe (16.5%-17%) and Place publique-left party leader Raphael Glicksman (11.5%-13%).
It is noteworthy that the president of the RN of Marine Le Pen is at the top of the preferences of all age groups.
One of the stakes of the election will be the movement of voters for President Emmanuel Macron, who will not be able to run again: According to this poll, 52% of them would give their vote to Edouard Philippe in the first round and 20% to Raphael Gliksman.
In a very close distance, the head of the party La France insoumise (radical left) Jean-Luc Mélenchon gathers a percentage of 11%-12% in the intention to vote, followed by the leader of the Republicans (right) Bruno Retagio (7.5%) and the head of the Ecologists Marine Todelier (5%).
The poll was conducted online between November 18-20 among a representative sample of 1,000 French people aged 18 and over. The margin of error is between 1.4-3.2%.
