- Weather models for winter 2025/2026 indicate weather close to normal, with initial warming.
- December will bring temperatures above zero, increased rainfall and local fog, making road conditions difficult.
- Will the winter weather last until spring and how will March 2026 surprise us? Check the latest forecasts!
What will the weather be like?
Weather models for winter 2025/2026 indicate that the weather will be similar to the norm of the last few years. The beginning of December is expected to bring warmer weather and temperatures of several degrees Celsius. In the north of the country, thermometers can even exceed 10 degrees Celsius. Despite the relatively warm weather, you can’t count on too much sun. Meteorologists predict that the next two weeks will see increased rainfall and, in southern Poland, rain and snow. Fog will appear in these areas, which, combined with morning frosts, will create very difficult road conditions. In the coming days, temperatures of around 5/6 degrees Celsius and rain with snow are forecast in Krakow. In Warsaw, the thermometers will also fluctuate around 6 degrees Celsius and we will have cloudy, humid weather.
Forecasts say that more winter weather will appear in . Then the temperatures will actually drop and frost will appear in many regions of Poland. Unfortunately, there are many indications that the winter weather will not last long. Rain and considerable humidity are forecast, and temperatures will rise to several degrees above zero during the day. This may mean a thaw throughout Poland.
The first forecasts said that this year’s winter might be snowy and frosty. The latest meteorological models indicate that the winter of 2025/2026 will be in line with the norm from 1991-2020, which is -0.16 Celsius for December and -0.3 Celsius for January. In January 2026, forecasters predict a higher average rainfall, which may include both rain and snow.
What will spring 2026 be like? IMWM published the first forecasts?
When will it come and will we have a long winter? Many people ask themselves this question. According to the first weather models, spring will surprise in 2026. Forecasters indicate that March 2026 may be warm and definitely above normal in terms of temperatures. In recent years, the average temperature in March has been 3.5 degrees Celsius. If the IMWM forecasts are true, we may expect a warm and quick spring. Unfortunately, there is also worse news. The same half models also indicate a higher average rainfall. This means that spring 2026 may be warm and rainy. Such weather will favor plant growth. Trees and bushes will green up faster and May mushrooms may appear in Polish forests.
It is worth remembering that long-term weather forecasts have a large margin of error. What forecasters say doesn’t always come true. More detailed forecasts should be postponed until the beginning of 2026.
