Chosen to be the rapporteur in the Senate of what reduces the sentences of those convicted in the coup plot process, (PP-SC) assumes the priority agenda of the Bolsonarists at the same time that he faces uncertainty in the electoral scenario for 2026, when he intends to contest re-election.
Amin is affiliated with , one of the parties in the center with the most parliamentarians in the National Congress, and the weight of the acronym is relevant in the electoral seams in Santa Catarina. But the agreements that were being drawn up for the Senate elections were mixed up, with repercussions also on the race for state government.
Son of the former president (PL), Carlos, a councilor in Rio de Janeiro, confirming his intention to run for the Senate in Santa Catarina, where Bolsonarism — in the 2024 elections, another, Jair Renan, was, on the coast of the state, with the highest vote in the House.
Carlos’ entry into the dispute, rehearsed since June, generated a , which until that moment was organized to launch two candidacies for the Senate: Amin and federal deputy Carol de Toni (PL).
For the Bolsonaro family, the solution found to keep the PP on the ticket would be to remove Carol de Toni from the majority dispute, but a wing of the PL has openly complained about this possibility.
State deputy Ana Campagnolo (PL) said that the supporter is being “rifted” and criticized the decision “from top to bottom” to give space to Carlos Bolsonaro. Carol de Toni is still evaluating whether she will seek re-election to the Chamber or whether she will migrate to the Novo party and run for the Senate.
Carol de Toni’s permanence in the race, for or even for Novo, could be a threat to Amin’s re-election, as Carlos Bolsonaro is considered, by the right-wing group, to be the strongest name on the ballot in Santa Catarina.
Both Carol de Toni and Ana Campagnolo are significant leaders of the Santa Catarina PL. In the 2022 elections, the two received the most votes in the state for the Chamber of Deputies and the Legislative Assembly, respectively.
But other PL leaders understand that the PP, which in 2026 should join União Brasil to form a federation, is an important party for the re-election of the governor of Santa Catarina, (PL), and defend that Amin be in the composition.
According to the group, a possible pure ticket for the Senate with Carlos and Carol de Toni could push the Progressive Union into an alliance with Jorginho Mello’s current main opponent at the polls, the current mayor of Chapecó, João Rodrigues (PSD).
He operates on the same political spectrum as the governor, and the PL fears that more parties will support his candidacy.
The question, in the assessment of the same group, also involves national definitions, whether the senator (PL) will continue in the dispute for Planalto and whether .
Amin has avoided speaking publicly about the impasse, but gives clear signs that he intends to continue in the Bolsonarist camp to win over the electorate next year. Wanted by Sheet on Thursday, he did not respond to the interview request until the publication of this text.
Previously known for being a traditional right-wing politician, Amin has become radicalized in recent years and, this Wednesday (10), shortly after being appointed rapporteur for the dosimetry bill, he declared that . He added that whether or not to pardon those convicted is “a political decision.”
He does not rule out the possibility that the proposal, under his rapporteurship, could become a broad pardon, which would give impetus to his electoral aspirations.
Despite the signals, Amin stated that he is still studying the case and that he will deliver his report to the Senate’s CCJ (Constitution and Justice Commission) by next Wednesday (17). He also said that he will work to get the bill voted on later this year.
The proposal reaches the Senate after being approved in the Chamber by 291 votes against 148. The text proposes a new rule to add penalties for crimes against democracy and foresees changes in regime progression.
If approved in the Senate without changes, Bolsonaro, who has been in prison since November 22, could spend less time in a closed regime (between 2 and 4 years, against a current estimate of 6 to 8 years).
On September 11, the former president was sentenced to 27 years and 3 months in prison for an attempted coup d’état.
