The so-called market, apparently, did not like that he was nominated by his father for the 2026 presidential race. Nor that he was shown the anointed one ahead of the governor, the favorite of finance and his peers.
It makes sense. The market liked Jair Bolsonaro and his fabulous Paulo Guedes, the mythomaniac who would bring about — the fortune tellers said — a liberal revolution in Brazil.
It is natural then that the captain of Bandeirantes is now preferred, with the advantage of him governing the main state in the country and respecting a certain institutionality. He is not as unprepared and clumsy as his demiurge and does not seem inclined to anti-system adventures.
Knowing that the market rejects anything that smacks of social democracy, income distribution and social programs, Tarcísio seems, in the eyes of this elite, to have a good promise, a right-wing product that could be sold as “moderate”. Disrespect for rights and uncontrolled police lethality are irrelevant. A, neither. And we don’t even talk about the big scandal anymore.
The market is actually interested in privatizations, deregulations and the absence of the State to be able to act with broad freedom. There are many people, in fact, very interested in this agenda of moving the State far away, especially when represented by the Federal Police and the Judiciary.
Tarcísio has already exchanged vows with the financial world and presents himself as a defender of the idea that in the private sphere everything works — despite the emergence of serial frauds, such as the cases of Americanas, Master and PCC laundering money in Faria Lima. It also defends the end of measures that help to adjust public accounts through tax collection and cutting benefits for the rich.
Parentheses: it is still curious, given this endlessly repeated liberal agenda, that the most spectacular case of international success in the economy, technology and poverty reduction is , which follows a prescription that is antagonistic to laissez-faire. “Ah, but that’s a communist dictatorship there” — that’s the simplistic argument that comes right out of the box, as if that country’s success was due to that. Close.
Returning to our tropics in a trance, there is no doubt, with the chronic inability of the right to build and present a respectable and viable candidacy for the Planalto, that everyone will end up getting on board with Flávio Bolsonaro. Since the aversion to Lula is visceral, the chips should really go to “Bolsonarism that takes the vaccine”.
It is true that the Quaest survey showed high rejection of the name Bolsonaro, but a lot of water will flow. It is not possible to imagine, at least for now, that Flávio could even consider retiring.
In all scenarios, as we know, —and with merit. The predicted economic disasters did not happen, the Tax Reform was approved, income rose, hunger was overcome, the IR became fairer, Trump praised him and inflation began to behave again. Not everything is wonderful, far from it, but enough to give the PT member the best predictions for the election year.
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