ZAP // André Kosters / Lusa; António José Seguro / Flickr; Depositphotos
Marques Mendes leads. Ventura, in third place, also rose, while the admiral fell again — he is fourth in the race to Belém. The survey leaves everything open for the second round (where the accounts are much clearer).
Less than a month before the presidential elections on January 18th, five candidates still expect to reach the second round, looking at a new survey by Pitagorica for TSF, , TVI and CNN Portugal.
With a technical draw in the first round, at the top of the table appears Luís Marques Mendesdespite a drop of almost three percentage points compared to November. With the distribution of undecided voters, the candidate supported by the PSD and CDS-PP registers 20,7% (range 18.1%-23.3%).
Just behind appears António José Seguroon an upward trajectory, with 19,9% (17,4%-22,4%).
Chega’s leader Andre Ventura follows the two very closely, with 19,1% (16,6%-21,6%).
Only then appears Gouveia e Melowhich prolongs a fall, now, descending to 15% (12.9%-17.5%), which had already exceeded 30% in Pythagorean surveys.
In reverse, João Cotrim de Figueiredo continues to gain ground and appears practically glued to the admiral in reserve, with 14,9% (12,8%-17,4%).
Further down, the survey signals sharp breaks in the space on the left, with Antonio Filipe e Jorge Pinto to appear with 3% (1.9%-4.1%). Already Catarina Martins director 2,7% (1,7%-3,7%).
Compared to November, Seguro, Ventura, Cotrim de Figueiredo and António Filipe rise.
The analysis by segments reveals some differences: Marques Mendes leads among women and Ventura in the male vote; Cotrim de Figueiredo and Marques Mendes stand out among the youngest, and Seguro has an advantage among the oldest.
In terms of potential and rejectionthe hierarchy favors Seguro, Marques Mendes, Cotrim and Gouveia e Melo, who combine greater aggregation capacity with lower rejection.
Nos second round scenariosthe photograph is clearer: Marques Mendes and António José Seguro are tied (41%) when they face each other and beat all other tested opponents. Ventura emerges as the candidate with the worst performance, losing in all scenariosand is also the most contested: 62% of respondents consider him unsuitable for top positions, and up to 60% of Chega voters would prefer to see him in Government than in Belém.
On thematic side, Health remains a presidential priority, followed at a distance by Housing, Immigration and Social Justice, which rises in the ranking.
The majority defends an impartial President in the face of Chega’s possible entry into the Government and rejects the automatic dissolution of Parliament in the event of a collapse in the State Budget.
