Venezuela, a country governed by two brothers: After Chavismo and Madurismo, comes Rodriguismo?

El Periódico

Diosdado Cabello, number two of the matureness and head of the Ministry of the Interior and the intelligence services of Venezuelaleft on Monday night to patrol Caracas after a series of strange shots. When they fell silent, a photo was taken with his large escort shouting “always loyal, never traitors“. He in turn repeated a personal motto that accounted for the extreme intransigence of the Government before the rapid capture of Nicolás Maduro by the United States. “Doubting is betrayal”. However, the “doubt” about the existence of a “betrayal” that led to the events of January 3 has not been able to be dispelled after these days. As for “always loyal”, a beheaded Government that includes the military has been forced to support the appointment of Delcy Rodríguez as “president in charge”. He respect for institutionality invoked does not seem to be a very credible argument, at least in Venezuela.

The suspicion that Donald Trump’s finger has been behind Delcy’s rise remains intact despite the fact that the billionaire went from pondering to accompanied shaking and the warning that a foreign head of state was in charge in the South American country. Venezuela has gone from Chavismo to Madurismo in 26 years and for less than a week rodriguism seems to have begun which can lead to a political transition according to Washington’s desires or have an abrupt end. But the conjunction in power of Delcy and his brother Jorge, president of the National Assembly (AN) and the person in charge of taking the oath, in an almost familiar scene, allows, at least for the moment, to assign relevant importance to the surname.

Oil company interest

The kidnapping of Maduro made the prices of oil companies on Wall Street rose, especially Chevron and ExxonMobil. The bonds of the state PDVSA They climbed to 28%. It has not escaped any analyst that one of the reasons for this euphoria has to do with Trump’s intentions in managing that country’s large crude oil reserves. But the markets also “endorsed” the new place of Delcy who, in addition to being vice president, was the Minister of Petroleum and, from that position, had established fluid relations with multinationals. According to Bloomberg, executives, lawyers and investors linked to that industry “defended” her taking Maduro’s position. He had proven to be much more efficient than the previous heads of the oil areaall of them dotted with corruption scandals. “The Trump Administration came to the same conclusion, believing that Rodríguez could stabilize Venezuela’s oil-based economy and facilitate American business.”

Hans Humes, the chief executive of Greylock Capital Management, who sits on Venezuela’s sovereign debt creditors’ committee, also told Bloomberg Television: “If you want someone who can operate under reasonably acceptable conditions, get the person who operated under the worst conditions.” That person would be the current “acting president.” With the same expectation as Chevron, ConocoPhillips, to which Venezuela owes 10 billion dollars after the state confiscation of its Venezuelan assets in 2007, had to follow the scene, Shell Plc, which has frozen a Venezuelan offshore gas deal, the Spanish Repsol, the Italian Eni SpA and French Maurel and Prom SA.

Concerns and suspicions

Delcy formally assumed office without forgetting Maduro and his wife, Cilia Floresand was accompanied by his family and Cabello. Since the designation was known, they began to tronar the criticism in what was the left of historical Chavismo or dissident sectors. José Antonio Hernández was struck by the fact that he spoke of a “cooperation agenda” with the US. “Those words, spoken after an imperialist kidnapping and bombing, do not sound like a defense of sovereignty, but rather a normalization of the abuse,” he wrote on the portal. Aporrhea. That speech, Henry Arroyo Clemente said in that same publication, It was “pitiful and unworthy”.

María Corina Machado, the right-wing leader dismissed by Trump as the protagonist of the “transition” for lacking internal “respect”, did not delay in targeting Rodríguez. “The main architect of torture, human trafficking, ally of Russia, China, Iran“said the Nobel Peace Prize winner, still unable to digest the Republican magnate’s snub.

The “big brother”

Faced with Machado’s predictable harshness, he drew attention the syrupy tone of Jorge Rodríguez upon assuming a new period as a parliamentary authority. A psychiatrist by profession, he has had to manage Maduro’s electoral campaign, organize his departure from the country Edmundo González Urrutiabut, above all, establish public and very private negotiations with US representatives in Dubai, Barbados and other countries. Rodriguez, Known for his harsh rhetoric, he urged “true dialogue” with the sectors of the opposition with representation in the AN. “Let us not disdain the possibility that no matter how differently we think, no matter how differently we think, we may find ourselves more united.” According to the doctor, it is no longer time for invectives but for “finding ourselves” and “lend your shoulder,” because “anything that comes from outside will always be worse.”

There is no shortage of observers who wonder about the true possibility of an era of Rodriguismo in a country with 2,400 generalsa sum greater than that of the country that has just carried out a major surgical operation to remove Maduro from his bunker. Meanwhile, it is Trump who is trying to define the rules of the game and with no elections in sight. It is not known if the brothers, children of an insurgent who died in prison, in 1976they will comply with the imposition that comes from the White House or they will create the conditions to rebel.

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