Because the CIA can neither confirm nor deny that it is investigating 3I/ATLAS

For the first time, the CIA neither confirms nor denies the existence of an investigation into an interstellar object. 3I/Atlas looks like a comet, but its anomalies defy scientific explanation. According to Avi Loeb, the agency is analyzing the object to rule out that it is a “black swan event”.

So far, the third known interstellar visitor has presented a series of unexplained characteristics in relation to known comets, which were recently by the infamous astronomer Avi Loeb.

One would expect these riddles trigger a scientific debate healthy about the nature of 3I/ATLAS, says the Harvard astronomer in an opinion article published in .

However, NASA officials officially closed the case without any discussion of the disconcerting nature of these anomalies.

Among the anomalous characteristics highlighted by Loeb include the existence of a prominent anti-tail jet directed towards the Sun both before and after perihelion, the geometric alignment with a difference of 8 degrees between the axis of rotation of 3I/ATLAS at great distances and the solar direction, and the alignment with a difference of 5 degrees of the orbital plane of 3I/ATLAS in relation to the ecliptic plane.

Furthermore, also the prominence of nickel relative to iron in the gas that the 3I/ATLAS expels reminds me of nickel alloys produced industrially, notes Loeb, who have seen ETs all over the place. It was the vibrations found by the astronomer at the bottom of the Pacific, which were not signs of an alien ship; they had been.

The vast majority of astronomers consider 3I/ATLAS to be a comet. But Avi Loeb continues to disagree with this conclusionand states, in his article in El Confidencial, strange about the way the CIA is treating the issuea.

In December, Loeb points out, the CIA responded to a Freedom of Information Act request filed by John Greenewald Jr., stating that “can neither confirm nor deny the existence or non-existence of records” related to 3I/ATLAS Greenewald in X the CIA’s response.

The fact that this information is treated as sufficiently sensitive to be classified by the CIA it’s surprisingsays Loeb, given that NASA authorities categorically stated on November 19, 2025 that 3I/ATLAS It is definitely a comet of natural origin.

If this conclusion was clear from the beginning to everyone within the Government and academia, as the NASA authorities presented the case, why would the CIA treat possible existence of records related to a natural comet as something sufficiently sensitive to be classified?

The simplest interpretation is that some government officials want to make sure that 3I/ATLAS is not a “black swan event” — a “black swan event” that represents a potential threat to societyeven though comet experts consider such a possibility highly unlikely.

The expression “black swan event” describes a rare and unexpected event that turns out to have significant impact and relevant economic, social, political or technological effects — which, in retrospect, should have been easy to anticipate, because “the signs were there”.

To the multiply a small probability of the existence of a threat to your high impact factor on societythe prudent conclusion is that such events must be taken seriously and monitored.

This lesson was learned the hard way by the inhabitants of Troyafter having given the welcome to the Trojan horseas well as by intelligence agencies such as the CIA and Mossad, following their miscalculations of the risk of events such as September 11, 2001 and the Hamas attack on October 7, 2023.

Under these circumstances, Loeb suggests, NASA officials were encouraged to offer the most likely scientific interpretationwhile at the same time hid from the public serious consideration of a “black swan event” by the CIA, in order to prevent the installation of unfounded panic.

This is a prudent policy to mitigate social unrest or the instability of financial markets at a time when the reality of a black swan event is still considered highly unlikely.

To maintain public trust, the CIA prefers not to raise a false alarmlike the pastor who repeatedly shouted “Here comes the wolf!“.The “neither confirm nor deny” response is the best way to keep the investigation of black swan events hidden.

If the previous interpretation is correct, 3I/ATLAS is the first case of an astronomical object for which intelligence agencies have deliberately adopted the “neither confirm nor deny” response.

A data collection about 3I/ATLAS it won’t be over until the comet passes close to Jupiter’s “Hill radius,” notes Avi Loeb.

One hopes that the curious community of government officials will be influenced by the dogmatic community of comet experts to verify that 3I/ATLAS release some little probe that will become “new satellites of Jupiter”.

Unless we check it out, we may never know whether this swan is white or black, concludes Avi Loeb — who really wants, very strongly, that 3I/ATLAS is in fact a extraterrestrial spaceship traveling through the galaxy.