With hair, it joined the list of regions where superpowers feel free to overthrow governments and steal. If you’re excited about this prospect, go check out whether it has stood out for its stable and prosperous democracies.
The American attack was cartoonishly imperialist. While Javier Milei celebrated by shouting “Libertad, carajo!”, Trump candidly admitted that he delivered more “carajo” than “libertad”.
Donald has already said clearly that the American government, not the people of Venezuela, will stay in . He warned that he will deliver Venezuelan oil to the . Shortly afterwards, he posted on his social networks that Venezuela would commit to the money it earned from oil.
Perhaps inspired by the idea of ”moderate Bolsonarism”, he installed a “moderate Madurista” in the Venezuelan government. As in the Brazilian case, “moderate” has no relationship whatsoever with respect to democracy: in the case of both Brazilian and right-wing governors, it means that they promise to implement the favorite economic policy of those who have enough power to distribute moderate badges.
In fact, Trump had no way of avoiding an agreement with the Chavistas. If he wanted to establish an opponent of the regime in power, he would have to occupy Venezuela militarily. It would be expensive. Furthermore, it would be difficult for a democratically elected government to agree to the handover of Venezuelan oil to a foreign power.
We do not know what the chances are of a transition to democracy and beyond American tutelage in Venezuela. Everything seems difficult, but we can at least hope that the Venezuelan people can extract democracy from the conflict between Trump and Maduro. I understand the Venezuelan writer María Elena Morán, who, , claimed the right to feel some hope now that Maduro has fallen.
What increased, to a degree that is still difficult to measure, was the risk of authoritarian regression in the United States. Trump understands the invasion of Venezuela as part of a larger war against immigrants and criminals (which, in his mind, are the same thing). Maduro’s kidnapping will be presented to the Americans as a victory in this conflict. The war against the “invaders”, argue the most radical Trumpists, would justify granting the president exceptional powers.
But the main victim of Trump’s Venezuelan adventure is the multilateral international order, which was already shaken after .
The defects of global governance in recent decades are evident, but abandoning it without replacing it with something better is a very serious mistake. Without multilateralism, the world will increasingly face global problems, such as pandemics or climate change, without coordinated efforts to combat them.
Since there are imbeciles who don’t care about any of this, here’s another argument: if the world is governed only by the law of the strongest, we will pay more taxes to finance increased military spending.
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