Something is not adding up with this dismissal of () as a candidate for President.
The movement comes from the children of (), does not have the support of and is taken over by the president of , but so far not a peep has been heard from the other opposition parties.
Either the president’s opponents have already surrendered the points, considering re-election as certain, or there are smarter moves to be made that for now escape our perception.
A third hypothesis, quite plausible, is that we are facing yet another gross mess much to the liking of the former president’s heirs. The current scenario does not favor them.
On the one hand, the governor of the most important state and largest electoral college in the country, identified in polls as having the potential to defeat Lula. On the other, and, it is said, weakened; (PL), the most rejected candidate for president; , revoked and abandoned by his self-exile in the .
As much as he was a creature of “Mr. Jair’s” creation, that was four years ago. A lot of water has flowed under the bridge of Bolsonarism, all of it being muddied by the mud of denialism in the pandemic and the crimes of .
Lula’s re-election is not a given. His opponents all appear with rates above 30% in the second round simulations, which projects an environment of everyone against the PT in the final battle.
Even though he is well placed, Flávio has problems. Rejection can always be reversed, but the son’s moderate persona does not convince the center and contradicts the badly behaved extremism that made his father successful.
Frankly, it is impossible to understand what advantage the right would have in embracing a dubious candidacy for the Presidency, losing a certain seat in Rio de Janeiro and also pushing Tarcísio, its biggest electoral asset, out of the clan’s area of influence.
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