Eric Perez / US Army / Wikipedia

Sniper from the 1st Battalion of the Canadian Light Infantry, during the exercise “Operation American Civil War”, in 2023
The Canadian Armed Forces are studying guerrilla tactics like those used by the Afghan mujahideen. Canadian authorities emphasize that an American invasion is unlikely and that the scenarios are “merely conceptual”. If this happens, Canada will ask France and the United Kingdom for help.
The Canadian Army created a scenario of a military invasion of Canada by the United States and its possible responses, the Canadian daily reported today, at a time when the North American President, Donald Trumptalks again about conquering the country.
It’s the first time in more than a century that the Canadian Army theoretically considers the hypothesis of a US attack to its territory, according to the Canadian newspaper, which cites two senior government officials.
The Globe and Mail does not identify the two responsible, who were not authorized to publicly discuss the military’s plans. They highlighted, however, that This is not an operational planbut of a model, used for the purposes of strategic reflectionconsidering, in fact, that it is highly unlikely that such an operation will be considered by the Donald Trump Government.
Since returning to the White House in January last year to begin his second presidential term (2025-2029), Trump has repeatedly expressed his desire for Canada to become the .
In the early hours of this Tuesday, while Washington’s allies worried, Trump on Truth Social saw a series of photos generated by Artificial Intelligence, showing him in the Oval Office with European leaders, in front of a map where the american flag covers not only the United States, but also the Canadá, Gronalanda was Venezuela.
Image made by AI with Donald Trump in the Oval Office with European leaders, in front of a map where the North American flag covers not only the USA, but also Canada, Greenland and Venezuela
According to the scenarios considered by the Canadian military, in the event of a offensive from the southUS forces could neutralize important Canadian strategic positions in less than a weekor even in just two days.
In this scenario, the Canadian response could take the form of an insurgent-type campaign, including ambushes and “guerilla tactics” comparable to those of used by mujahidin guerrillas Afghans during the Soviet Union’s 1979-89 invasion of Afghanistan. According to The Globe and Mail, the objective of these tactics would be to inflict mass casualties to occupation forces.
The plans now discussed give a precise vision of the threat assessment level which is being actively discussed by Canada in relation to the Trump administration. A senior Defense Department official said, however, that Canada would have maximum three months to prepare for an invasion by land and sea.
The first signs that orders for the US invasion of the country had been issued would probably come from military alerts from the Americans stating that the shared airspace policy between the two countries was no longer in force, the source said.
This rupture in the joint defense agreement would probably lead to France or Great Britain, countries with nuclear weapons, were called upon to provide support and defense of Canada against the USA.
Contacted by the French news agency AFP, Canada’s Ministry of National Defense has so far not issued any comment on the situation.
Canada is a founding member of NATO and Washington’s partner in the air defense of the North American continent, with a joint military command, NORAD.
