Mercosur-EU, talks about Maduro: Lula’s mistakes and successes, according to Atlas/Intel

The assessment is included in the research commissioned by the Atlas/Intel institute, which had new details released this Thursday (22)

Ricardo Stuckert/PR
03.12.2025 – President of the Republic, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, during an interview with TV Verdes Mares

The free provision of all medicines from the Farmácia Popular program was the biggest success of Lula’s (PT) third term so far, while it was the main mistake. The assessment is included in the research commissioned by the Atlas/Intel institute, which had new details released this Thursday (22).

The survey asked the 5,418 respondents: “Do you classify each of the following decisions as right or wrong?” The expansion of the Popular Pharmacy benefit, announced in February last year, appears in the survey with 86% of positive responses, while 7% of those interviewed answered “I don’t know”, and another 7% stated that it was a mistake.

According to the survey, 59% responded that it was a mistake on the part of the government to apply the 20% tax on international purchases of up to US$50 (around R$300), while 33% said it was a success, and 8% did not know how to respond.

The signature of , for example, appears in the survey with 67% positive responses, 20% negative, and 13% were unable to respond.

in the USA, was criticized by 48% of those interviewed. According to the study, 43% supported the government’s position, and another 9% were unable to respond.

Lula's mistakes and successes, according to Atlas/Intel

Lula’s mistakes and successes, according to Atlas/Intel

Lula leads in all scenarios

Research by the Atlas/Intel institute also shows that the second round. Against governors Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicans), Romeu Zema (Novo), Ratinho Jr. (PSD), Ronaldo Caiado (União Brasil), senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) and former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro, the PT member’s voting intention is 49%, while in a dispute with the head of the Executive of Rio Grande do Sul, Eduardo Leite (PSD), the percentage drops to 48%.

For a first round with Lula, the institute considered five possibilities: without Flávio, without Tarcísio, with Michelle and without a representative of the Bolsonaro family and the São Paulo governor. In all scenarios, the PT leader leads.

The survey also tested two first-round scenarios with the Minister of Finance, Fernando Haddad, as the PT candidate. In both possibilities, the former mayor of São Paulo leads the dispute for Planalto.

From January 15th to 20th, the Atlas/Intel institute interviewed 5,418 people through random digital recruitment. The margin of error is one percentage point. The survey was registered with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) on January 15, 2026 with number BR-02804/2026.

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