- Poland is struggling with frost and snow, and the beginning of 2026 brought truly winter weather, which surprised many.
- January 2026 was much colder than average, and February is expected to be similar, with negative temperature anomalies.
- Will the beginning of February bring a short warming before winter returns with greater force?
Snow, frost and black ice on the sidewalks. These words can summarize the weather in Poland in recent weeks. Periods of bitter frost alternate with stages of slight thaw. Not only Poland struggles with the charms of real winter. In Kamchatka, they showed snowdrifts reaching up to 4 floors, and Kiev, attacked by the Russians, is struggling with bitter frost. .
For several years, winter in Poland has been becoming milder. Malicious people will say that the weather in our country is more and more reminiscent of the rainy season than a real Polish winter. What will it be like this year? The first weather models indicated that we may finally have snow and snow. Some even muttered something about the winter of the century. However, the end of 2025 was warm and snowless. Many people began to doubt that the predictions about the winter of the century would come true. And yet, the beginning of 2026 brought truly winter weather. Poland was gripped by bitter frosts, in many areas the thermometers were even several dozen degrees below zero. The temporary thaw brought black ice on the streets and sidewalks. The snow that fell in the first days of 2026 continues to this day. There are many indications that January 2026 will be colder than the average from 1990-2020.
What will the weather be like in February 2026?
The latest indicates that February 2026 may be very similar to January. According to forecasts by the European Center for Medium-Term Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), February is expected to be slightly colder than normal, and the negative anomaly is expected to be around 1 degree Celsius. So this is not a very high deviation.
This will be the weather on February 1, 2026
The beginning of February 2026 promises to be a bit milder than the icy end of January. On February 1, the temperature in most of the country is expected to fluctuate between 0 and 3 degrees Celsius, with only slight frost remaining in some places. This short warming will not last long, however. The cold will begin to intensify again in the following days. Although long-term forecasts can always change, current GFS model indications suggest that the snowy aura from the beginning of the month has a good chance of being confirmed and perpetuating the winter landscape throughout Poland. The most intense rainfall is expected to fall on February 3: although the extent of the rainfall zone will be slightly smaller, the snow may fall the heaviest locally. The most difficult conditions are forecast at the seaside and in the northern part of the country, from Western Pomerania to Podlasie, where rainfall may sometimes exceed 3 mm per hour. Snow is also expected to appear in Silesia and Podkarpacie. If these multi-day snowstorms continue, snow cover may exceed 20 cm in the north and northeast. Similar values (from a dozen to about 20 cm) are also expected in eastern Poland and the Bieszczady Mountains
