Alvaro Dias and Requião Filho appear mathematically in second place; approval for Ratinho Júnior’s government reaches more than 85%
Senator Sergio Moro (União Brasil) leads the dispute for the Government of Paraná, ahead of Alvaro Dias (Podemos) and Requião Filho (PDT), according to a survey by Paraná Pesquisas.
In the first stimulated scenario – in which the institute mentions the names of possible candidates – with the presence of Guto Silva (PSD), Moro leads with 41.6% of voting intentions. In second place comes Alvaro Dias (MDB) with 19.7% of the votes, mathematically tied with Requião Filho, considering the margin of error of 2.8%.
In a second scenario, with Alexandre Curi (PSD) in the dispute, the senator’s lead drops to 40%. Alvaro Dias and Requião Filho remain mathematically tied, with 18.8% and 18.6%, respectively.
In the case of a second round with Alvaro Dias, Sergio Moro appears with 51% of voting intentions, while the former senator appears with 37.3%.
Between Sergio Moro and Alexandre Curi, the senator has 56% of intentions, compared to 28.2% state deputy.
In the spontaneous survey, 74.2% of voters were unable to give their opinion. The current governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD), who is a pre-candidate for the Presidency, appears with 9.5%, followed by Sergio Moro with 4.5%.
The survey also assessed the approval of the current government of Paraná. According to the survey, 85.5% of those interviewed approve of Rainho Júnior’s government in the state of Paraná. In another section, 74.8% consider the government to be excellent or good.
Senate
For the Senate, Alvaro Dias leads the polls in the first scenario with 47.5%, followed by Alexander Curi with 36.2% and Cistina Graeml with 26%.
In the second scenario, without Alexandre Curi, Alvaro jumps to 52.2%, followed by Cristina with 32.5% and Felipe Barros with 31.6%. Paraná voters vote for two senators in 2026.
Methodology
Data collection by Paraná Pesquisas was carried out between January 18th and 22nd, 2025. 1300 voters were interviewed in 54 municipalities, guaranteeing a confidence level of 95%, with a margin of error of 2.8 points. The research is registered with the Superior Electoral Court under number PR-08451/2026.
