Soy crushing expected to be record in 2026

With the expectation of harvesting a record soybean crop, grain processing is also expected to reach unprecedented volumes. This is what the Brazilian Association of Vegetable Oil Industries (ABIOVE) estimates, which this week updated projections for industrial activity in the soybean complex. The main highlight is the estimate of soybean crushing in Brazil in a record volume, of 61 million tons this year, a slight increase of 0.8% compared to the previous estimate. The projection for bran production is estimated at 47 million tons, while oil production is expected to reach 12.25 million tons.

In international trade, Brazil is expected to maintain its leadership with exports of 111.5 million tons of soybeans, an increase of 0.5%. In the by-products segment, projections point to shipments of 24.6 million tons of bran and a significant growth of 11.5% in soybean oil exports, which should reach 1.45 million tons.

The sector’s performance in 2025 already anticipated this upward trend. Consolidated crushing for the year closed at 58.5 million tons, processing a harvest that reached 171.5 million tons of grains, according to Conab. As well as industrial activity in 2025 which, according to data from ABIOVE, resulted in the production of 45.1 million tons of soybean meal and 11.7 million tons of soybean oil. As for the trade flow, data validated by the Secretariat of Foreign Trade (Secex) confirm the export of 108.2 million tons of soybeans, 23.3 million tons of bran and 1.36 million tons of oil.

On the import side, the country acquired 969 thousand tons of soybeans and 105 thousand tons of soybean oil to meet specific demands.

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