I’m very close to the best result ever in a new survey. Ventura with 30%

Both have very loyal votes in the first round, but Segura “steals” the majority of votes from Cotrim and a large part of voters from Marques Mendes and Gouveia e Melo.

Antonio José Insurance has a big advantage over André Venturaaccording to the most recent survey by the Catholic University, carried out a few days after the first round of the presidential elections and already projecting the second round on February 8th.

The published estimate shows that Seguro collects 70% of voting intentions, while Ventura remains at 30%according to .

If this were to happen at the polls on the 8th, Seguro would more than double its result from the first round (31.12%) and Ventura would grow by around seven percentage points (it had 23.52%).

The 70% threshold could make history in the country: the President elected with the highest percentage since the 25th of April was Mario Soaresin 1991, with 70.35%.

Even so, the survey team itself highlights the difficulty of estimating electoral participation in studies of this type and the direct impact it could have on the final difference between the candidates, despite the first round having registered a .

The study also suggests strong loyalty among voters of origin. Seguro would maintain 99% of the votes in the first round and Ventura 93%which shifts the focus to voters who chose other candidates, who make up a universe of more than two million.

This is where the survey shows an advantage for the candidate supported by the PS: among voters in Cotrim de Figueiredo, Seguro captures 56% and Ventura 16%; among those in Gouveia and Melo, Seguro accounts for 67% and Ventura 14%; and among those from Marques Mendes, Seguro has 69%, compared to 10% for Ventura. On the left, support for Seguro is described as almost unanimous (91%).

Geographically, (67%) and among respondents with higher education (71%). Ventura is stronger among men (54%) and among those with less education.

Furthermore, 81% say they will not change their voting direction until February 8th. Certainty is higher among Seguro supporters (87%) than among Ventura supporters (78%).

The most recent Intercampus survey for , Correio da Manhã and CMTV also predicted for Seguro, but not as comfortable as the one that Católica projected: here there were 60.8% of voting intentions for Seguro and Ventura, almost the same as in the first round, with 24.5% of the votes.