Santos sees the risk of relegation in the Brasileirão increasing; see probability

The fight against relegation remains fierce in Series A of the Brazilian Championship. After the end of the 32nd round, 13 clubs are still at risk of falling to the second division.

The data are from Department of Mathematics at the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG).

The is practically demoted. Bottom with just 17 points, the red-black team has a 99.998% chance of falling.

The other members of Z4, (91%), (87.3%) and (50.5%) appear close behind in the ranking of most threatened.

Of the teams that are outside the sticking zone, (47.8%) and (15.1%) are those most at risk.

Risk of relegation in the Brasileirão

  • Sport – 99,998%
  • Youth – 91%
  • Fortaleza – 87,3%
  • Santos – 50,5%
  • Vitória – 47.8%
  • International – 15.1%
  • Grêmio – 2.6%
  • Ceará – 2.6%
  • RB Bragantino 2,4%
  • Atlético – 0,37%
  • Corinthians – 0,086%
  • Vasco – 0,059%
  • São Paulo – 0.001%

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