Portugal is holding the second round of presidential elections this Sunday (8), in a dispute that pits socialist António José Seguro against the leader of the radical right party Chega, André Ventura. On the eve of the vote, polls indicate a comfortable scenario for the Socialist Party candidate.
Survey released by Pitagorica, in partnership with TVI, CNN Portugal, News Journal e TSFpoints out Seguro with 56.7% of voting intentions. Ventura appears with 26.9%. Blank or invalid votes total 9%, while 7.4% of those interviewed said they did not know who to vote for.
The survey also simulated the redistribution of undecided votes. In this scenario, Seguro would increase the advantage, reaching 67.8%, against 32.2% for Ventura. The survey was carried out between the 3rd and 5th of February, with 810 interviews. The margin of error is 3.51 percentage points, with a confidence level of 95.5%.
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The demographic profile of the study shows relevant differences in the profile of the electorate. Seguro has greater support among women, while Ventura performs relatively better among men, reflecting the polarization observed since the first round.
In the first round, held on January 18, Seguro led the vote with just over 31% of valid votes. Ventura came in second place, with around 23.5%, consolidating Chega as the main opposition force in the Portuguese Parliament. In third place was João Cotrim de Figueiredo, from the Liberal Initiative, with approximately 16%.
The participation rate in the first round reached 52%, the highest level recorded in presidential elections in Portugal in the last 15 years. The performance of electoral mobilization is seen as a key factor in the outcome of the second round, especially given the significant advantage indicated by the polls.
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The polls are open from 8am to 7pm local time (5am to 4pm in Brasília). The elected president will play a central role of institutional moderation in the Portuguese semi-presidential system, with powers of veto, dissolution of Parliament and appointment of the prime minister.
