Research shows toucan numerically ahead of PT member; in a duel with Camilo Santana, there is a technical draw
A survey released this Wednesday (April 1, 2026) on the dispute for the government of Ceará shows that (PSDB) would beat the current governor of the State, (PT), in a possible 2nd round between the two.
AtlasIntel asked the following question: “In a possible 2nd round in the next elections for Governor of Ceará, how would you vote in each of the following scenarios?”.
Here is how the interviewees responded:
Scenario 1:
- Ciro Gomes (PSDB) – 50.1%;
- Elmano de Freitas (PT) – 42,9%;
- blank/null/no be – 7%.
Scenario 2:
- Ciro Gomes (PSDB) – 48.4%;
- Camilo Santana (PT) – 45,2%;
- blank/null/no be – 6,4%.
Scenario 3:
- Elmano de Freitas (PT) – 47,9%;
- Captain Wagner (União Brasil) – 42.6%;
- blank/null/no be – 9,5%.
Scenario 4:
- Elmano de Freitas (PT) – 51,1%;
- Roberto Cláudio (União Brasil) – 35.2%;
- blank/null/no be – 13,6%.
AtlasIntel also tested 1st round scenarios.
Scenario 1:
- Ciro Gomes (PSDB) – 46.2%;
- Elmano de Freitas (PT) – 42,6%;
- Eduardo Girão (Novo) – 5,3%;
- Jarir Pereira (Psol) – 1%;
- blank/null – 4,2%;
- no be – 0,7%.
Scenario 2:
- Elmano de Freitas (PT) – 46%;
- Eduardo Girão (Novo) – 22,3%;
- Roberto Cláudio (União Brasil) – 15.4%;
- Jarir Pereira (Psol) – 1.1%;
- blank/null – 12,8%;
- no be – 2,5%.
Scenario 3:
- Camilo Santana (PT) – 48,8%;
- Ciro Gomes (PSDB) – 44%;
- Eduardo Girão (Novo) – 5,4%;
- Jarir Pereira (Psol) – 0.5%;
- blank/null – 0,7%;
- no be – 0,6%.
The survey interviewed 1,200 people in the State of Ceará of 25 a 30 March 2026. The margin of error is 3 percentage points, more or less. The confidence level of the survey is 95%. Read the study (PDF – 7 MB).
The survey is registered with the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) under number CE-08876/2026. The study cost R$ 75.000. It was paid for with its own resources.
Read more:
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