His popularity has gone through with some stability another year of a mandate that takes place in a very different scenario from his previous governments. Around the world, democracies are facing a wave of discouragement with their leaders, and the crystallization of political positions makes major changes of opinion towards governments rare.
The new research shows that the PT . In a situation similar to the end of last year, Lula has the approval of around a third of the country and the disapproval of another third. The rest say that the management is regular. No one in Planalto can be comfortable with the result.
Lula has two main problems. The first is recognized in a covert way by the president: the government’s actions have little or no effect on his popularity. The PT member believed that the recomposition of social programs and the boost of the public machine on the economy would be enough to move some needles, but the variation was almost zero among low-income voters and in the target audience of .
The president spent the year repeating that 2024 would be the year, in which decisions taken in the first year of government would yield results and, consequently, improve his evaluation. Last Sunday (15), he pushed the forecast to 2025.
At the turn of the calendar lies another complication. Lula goes practically without any popularity fat into the frying pan that will be the second half of his term.
Reticence about the government’s actions adds to an economic environment that (number one factor of popular dissatisfaction) also restricts the spending available for high-impact actions. The president may be tempted to test these restrictions and make a big bet on a popularity bonus, at the cost of turmoil that tends to be violent.
What offers relief to Lula is the fact that, at this point, he has to defeat the government in 2026. The excitement with the PT administration, limited until now, will be decisive in guiding the movement of challengers and voters in the next two years.
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