Disapproval of Lula rises to 49% after the Pix crisis, shows Quaest

by Andrea
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Disapproval of the president’s work Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva rose two percentage points, from 47% in December 2024 to 49% in January 2025, shows a new round of the Genial/Quaest survey released this Monday (27). Approval fluctuated five points down, from 52% to 47%, in the same interval. 4% of those interviewed did not know or did not answer, compared to 2% in the previous survey.

It is the first time in the mandate that the percentage of Brazilians who disapprove of the president exceeds the number of those who approve, according to Quaest. The change occurs after the Pix crisis

The survey points out that, for 66% of those interviewed, the government was more wrong in the face of the controversy involving the fake news that PIX would be taxed. Another 19% said that the government got more things right, and 5% said it got the same right and got the same amount of mistakes. 10% did not know or did not respond.

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Approval to Lula

The president’s work continues to have the highest approval rating in the Northeast, even though there was a drop from 67% to 59%. The rate of Northeasterners who disapprove of Lula’s work rose from 32% to 37%, while those who don’t know or didn’t respond rose from 1% to 4%.

In the Southeast, those who approve of the presidential work fell 2 points, from 44% to 42%, while those who disapprove remained at 53%. Don’t know or didn’t answer rose from 3% to 5%.

In the South, those who approve of Lula’s work fell seven percentage points, from 46% to 39%, while those who disapprove rose from 52% to 59%. They don’t know or didn’t answer whether they kept it at 2%.

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In the Central-West and North Regions, surveyed together, those who approve of the president’s work remained at 48% and those who disapprove fluctuated by 1 point, from 50% to 49%. 2% do not know or did not respond, compared to 3% in Genial/Quaest in December.

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When the criterion is family income, Lula’s work is approved by 56% of those earning up to two minimum wages, compared to 63% in December. In this range, 39% disapprove of it compared to 34% in the previous survey. Among those who earn two to five minimum wages, approval of the president’s work fell from 48% to 43% and disapproval rose from 50% to 54%. Among those with an income above five minimum wages, those who disapprove (remained at 59%) outnumber those who approve (remained at 39%).

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Women approve of the president’s work more – 49% compared to 54% in December – than men – 45% compared to 49%.

In terms of age group, Lula’s work is most approved by those aged 60 or over – it fell from 57% to 52%. In this range, disapproval remained at 40%. Among respondents aged 16 to 34, approval fell from 48% to 45% and disapproval rose from 50% to 52%. In the 35 to 59 age group, those who approve fell from 52% to 46% and those who disapprove rose from 46% to 52%.

Already 58% of evangelicals disapprove of Lula’s work, compared to 56% in December, and 37% approve, compared to 42%. Among Catholics, 52% approve, compared to 56% in the last survey, and 45% disapprove, compared to 42% in the December survey.

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Genial/Quaest interviewed 4,500 Brazilians aged 16 and over between January 23rd and 26th. The margin of error is 1 percentage point and the reliability level is 95%.

Government approval also falls

The overall positive evaluation of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s government went from 33% to 31%, while the negative rating rose from 31% to 37% and the regular rating dropped from 34% to 28%, according to a Genial/Quaest survey released this Monday, the 27th. 4% do not know or did not respond, compared to 2% in the December survey.

The Northeast continues to have the highest overall positive rating from the government, but there was a drop – from 48% to 37%, while the negative rating was 22% and the regular rating was from 29% to 32%.

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Direction

Genial/Quaest also measured respondents’ perception of the country’s direction. For 50%, Brazil is heading in the wrong direction (compared to 46% in December) and 39% consider it to be heading in the right direction (compared to 43%). They don’t know or didn’t answer whether they maintained it at 11%.

In relation to Lula’s campaign promises, 65% believe that the president has not been able to do what he promised (compared to 60% in December) and 30% consider that he has been able to do what he promised (compared to 35%). They don’t know or didn’t answer whether they kept it at 5%.

For 47% of those interviewed, Lula is well-intentioned (compared to 51%), while 46% say that the president is not well-intentioned (compared to 42%). Furthermore, 47% say that the government works to meet everyone’s needs (compared to 52%) and 35% say that the government works to meet the needs of those who voted for Lula (compared to 34%).

Genial/Quaest interviewed 4,500 Brazilians aged 16 and over between January 23rd and 26th. The margin of error is 1 percentage point and the reliability level is 95%.

(With Estadão Content)

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