Lula puts intuition to the test – 27/01/2025 – Dora Kramer

It is rare, if not unpublished, that a president of the Republic is two years in office ahead.

The manual says that this anticipates the “end” of ongoing management, feeds internal disputes, gives more room for the opposition to act without being accused of just wanting to disturb the government due to the interests of the stage and leaves the governors at the time that Convenience has not yet explained the intention to jump from the boat.

In addition, for a government that has attracted distrust, this anticipation encourages quite founded suspicions that it cannot be expected in the next two years any unpopular actions, despite being necessary.

(), As we have seen in this third term, it is less willing to follow the dictates of the traditional political booklet. Therefore, it may be that his celebrated thin intuition has advised him to act differently. The motivation for now is not clear.

What the guardian angel told him we will be able to unravel along the floor of the carriage, but it is possible to make some assumption from the statement made at the same ministerial meeting in which he started to 2026.

There he ventured the hypothesis of not competing for reelection due to health problems or imponderable. The decision, he said, is “in the hands of God.” Knowing the assessment of self, we know who he refers to when he alludes to the divine.

From this perspective, perhaps it is repeating the game made on other occasions that disseminated doubt about whether to dispose of the next election in order to feed on the PT, fearful of defeat, the unit around it and discourage other candidacies in the party.

In the current conjuncture and as president, he risks playing with discarded cards from the deck by the passage of time and change in circumstances, because Lula, the PT, the opposition and the yearnings of Brazilians are no longer the same. Given this, intuition may not suffice.


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