Ceasefire between Israel and Hamas is threatened

Multinational diplomatic effort to moderate and seal an agreement Between E, was widely celebrated inside and outside the Middle East. The 15 months of bloody conflict that destroyed thousands of families was assisted by the global population with huge discontent and concern, either by seeing families crying for their kidnapped relatives in Israel, or when seeing the Palestinian children crying the loss of their homes and loved ones.

The American administration of Joe Biden and Donald Trump succeeded after weeks of conversation, convincing belligerents to sign a three -stage agreement, predicting the return of hostages, the release of Palestinian prisoners and the reconstruction of posteriori Gaza. When signed, the deal seemed quite promising, but raised many questions about its fulfillment completely.

In the view of many experts, despite relieving internal political pressure under Netanyahu by being able to repact some hostages, the deal was much more positive to Hamas than Israel. Considering that the terrorist group still has the military and political control of thethe main Israeli objective has not yet been achieved.

The pause in hostilities is a chance of regrouping and new recruitments to Hamas, while strategically hindering any progress of IDF in the future. Despite all this, the political pressure imposed by the United States, especially by the new administration, forced to accept the terms. Today, however, it is the Palestinians who seem want to finish the agreement in advance.

Hamas has announced that it will not release the hostages planned for Saturday, arguing that Israel has failed to comply with the conditions of the ceasefire by not allowing a continuous flow of humanitarian aid to Gaza, interrupting the return of families north of the enclave and bombing. All accusations were denied by Israel, and none of the international observers notified any violation of the terms during the agreement.

Netanyahu has already made it clear that if the hostages do not return Saturday, the war will start even more intense, on the same day, putting a definitive end to ceasefire. The main ally of the Israeli premie, he also said that his patience on this subject would be running out and gave the terrorists an ultimatum. Cataris, Egyptian, and the US diplomatic corps mediators press Hamas to fulfill what was agreed, but are fearful that they don’t go back in their decision.

In the view of many military analysts, it was more likely to break the ceasefire by Israel, as they made more concessions than they had advantages with what was signed. However, Hamas’s most truculent and irreducible stance shows that perhaps the few weeks of stopping conflict have already served them to recharge their forces and achieve political gains with the release of hundreds of Palestinian prisoners.

The weakness of Iran and Hezbollah, the main allies of Hamas, indicates that the resumption of hostilities at this time could be a bad choice, endangering the little they have achieved for almost a year and a half of war. However, logic does not seem to be what prevails in this conflict.

Trump’s problematic lines about the relocation of millions of Palestinians may also have been preponderant to disagree with the maintenance of ceasefire, as in a possible US power, the elimination of the terrorist group would be even more likely than in A fight only against the Israelis. The whole world will look at Gaza at noon on Saturday, February 15th, waiting to see if we will have peace for the release of innocents, or the resumption of war for the stubbornness of Hamas.

*This text does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the young Pan.