Partial calculation projects moderate right -wing victory and rise of the far right in Germany

by Andrea
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“It’s a big day for Germany,” the US President Donald Trump wrote on social network

(Photo: Reproduction/AFP)

José Henrique Maront, Berlin, Germany (Folhapress) – Partial investigation projects the victory of conservative Friedrich Merz, moderate right, in the parliamentary election of Germany, on Sunday (23), as well as the rise of AFD, the far right party. With 182 of the 299 districts accounted for, the Merz CDU reaches 28.5% of the votes, in line with the latest polls, against 20.6% of the populist legend.

It is the best result of the far right in 90 years, or since the Nazi era, which dragged Germany to World War II. With twice votes for the 2021 election, confirms the wave of populism that already prevails in several countries of the European Union, such as Italy, the Netherlands, Hungary and Austria, but that reaches a new level with a strong AFD presence in Bundestag, Parliament German.

“It’s a great day for Germany,” wrote US President Donald Trump on social network, reiterating the international dimension that the claim has gained.

Alice Weidel, the leader and candidate for first-minister for the acronym, said she is “ready to participate in the government.” “Our hand will always be extended,” the parliamentarian told the explicit message to the winner. Although he has accepted AFD votes to try to approve anti-immigration legislation, Merz has repeatedly stated that he will not form a coalition with the radical acronym.

The economic moment, the immigration crisis, inflamed by recent episodes of violence, and the troubled international scenario made the Germans attend the ballot box. According to the Wahlen Institute, 83% of those able to vote exercised their right, the highest level since German reunification in 1990.

“The world out there is not waiting for us,” Merz said in a speech to co -religionists at CDU headquarters in downtown Berlin, reaffirming that he sees the country in decay. The parliamentarian claimed to be aware of his responsibility and the “dimension of the task” he has ahead. He also said that now the priority is to talk to other parties in search of “a good parliamentary majority.”

The distribution of chairs depends on a complex parliamentary mathematics, which will only be defined entirely in the coming days. Each voter has two votes: one direct, in candidates from 299 districts, and one on a party list. An electoral reform, from this election, conditioned the direct vote to the candidate’s party performance in the voting vote. According to experts, the novelty strengthens the role of subtitles.

With the largest slice of Bundestag, Merz must be appointed as the next prime minister, but depends on the formation of a government coalition. Its intention was to unite the CDU with the SPD, the so-called Great Coalition, which ruled the country at various times of the postwar, including part of the Angela Merkel era (2005-2021). The question is whether this will be possible.

Olaf Scholz’s party obtained, according to the mouth of a ballot box, 16.5%, its worst result since 1949, when Germany resumed the dominance of its postwar internal policy. The current prime minister recognized the defeat and spoke of “bitter result.” Boris Pistorius, his defense minister who was quoted for the position of head of government, went further and preferred the catastrophic adjective.

Merz has moderated the speech against Scholz in recent weeks already thinking about negotiations in the coming months-the social democrat coalition in 2021 consumed two months to be reached. The campaign was not friendly, and Scholz, after congratulating the opponent, said he will not participate in any negotiation. If you also have to count on green to ensure a more comfortable majority in Parliament, Merz will have even more difficulties.

From veto to nuclear energy to restrictive German environmental legislation, several themes separate the two parties. Merz advocates a wide deregulation, much of work built by green in recent years. The environmental party, according to the mouth of the ballot box, reached 11.8%, but the coalition with CDU will depend on the result of the FDP. The liberal acronym, projected 4.4%, is below the 5%barrier clause.

Also BSW, the left -led populist party led by Sahra Wagenknecht, is at the limit of 5%. If the two acronyms wreck, Merz accounts are even tighter. He would be practically obliged to include the green in the coalition.

The alternative would be him to break the promise of not getting involved with AFD, which seems unlikely. Such a scenario has already occurred in Austria, in which the FPö Extreme Right Party was called to compose the government. For now, negotiation has failed.

Merz, 69, a corporate lawyer who was involved in politics still at school, was one of the stars of the CDU, the Democratic-Christian Union, in the 1990s. Liberal reformist, then shocked with another policy that grew in the acronym, Angela Merkel .

In 2002, the group of scientist from East Germany prevailed in charge of the party and, three years later, it would become the most lasting prime minister of the German postwar, with great international projection. Merz, scanted, gave up on politics in 2009 and took off in private initiative, participating in the board of large companies, such as the Blackrock Investment Fund. It became a millionaire too.

His return to politics occurred, not coincidentally, as Merkel began to draw his retirement in 2018.

Projections also confirm the growth of the acronym on the left, which reaches 8.7% of the votes so far. A strong presence on social networks and the firm position of the acronym in the defense of Brandmauer, the firewall, which drives the democratic field from AFD, would be the main motivators of the result.

On Saturday (22), in his last campaign speech, Merz stated that “the left is over.” He referred to the country project represented by social democrats and green, but the message was felt in the most radical fringes of the political spectrum. The left is the strongest party among young people up to 25 years old in Germany and defends, in other flags, the taxation of the rich.

The President of the Central Jewish Council of Germany said he was shocked by the result of AFD, even if expected. “It must be a matter of concern for all of us that a fifth of German voters are giving their vote to an extremist party, who openly seeks linguistic and ideological bonds with right -wing radicalism and neo -Nazism, who plays with the fears of people and only them offers simple solutions. ”

Oblivious to criticism, Alice Weidel’s caption rehearses a moderation movement based on the examples of Marine Le Pen in France and Giorgia Meloni in Italy. With less ideological discourse and naming voters on more practical issues, such as cost of living and regulation, the party aims to naturalization and the position of Prime Minister until 2029.


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