USP professor Angelo Segrillo presents a forceful analysis of the current global geopolitical scenario, highlighting a strong resurgence of nationalism. This tendency, he said, contradicts the theory of the “shock of civilizations” proposed by political scientist Samuel Huntington.
Segrillo argues that Huntington has made a mistake in his prediction about cold-war conflicts. “Huntington believed that, after 1991, conflicts would come on shocks between civilizations, with still important states, but gathered in civilizational blocks,” explains the professor.
Return to nationalism
Contrary to this expectation, what is currently observed is a return to nationalism. Segrillo exemplifies: “If it were [um conflito entre] Civilizations, Western civilization, most important for Huntington, would be strengthening. However, what we see is the United States moving away from Europe. ”
The expert also cites war in Ukraine as another example that challenges Huntington’s theory. “Russia and Ukraine, which are from the same orthodox civilization, are separating,” says Segrillo, reinforcing that there is no grouping around civilizations as planned.
This analysis suggests a significant change in the dynamics of international relations, with countries increasingly prioritizing their national interests over alliances based on cultural or civilizational affinities. Such a scenario may have profound implications for global politics and diplomacy in the coming years.
