The President () leads voting intentions in all second-round scenarios of those tested by Genial/Quaest and released on Thursday (3).
The results favorable to the petista occur even with the popularity of his falling government. The same survey showed that 41% of Brazilians negatively evaluate the government, compared to 27% that have positive assessment.
The survey margin of error is two percentage points for more or less. Genial/Quaest conducted 2,004 interviews with Brazilians from 16 years or more than Thursday (27) until Monday (31).
In the first of the eight electoral scenarios tested in the survey, the president surpasses () with 44% of voting intentions, against 40% of the former Mandanker. This is tight situation for the petista if the claim was today, according to the survey.
But Bolsonaro, who on charges of leading a coup plot, is ineligible until 2030 by decision of the Electoral Justice. The survey did not include first -round scenarios.
The second tightest framework for Lula is against the former first lady (PL): the president marks 44% compared to 38% of the opponent’s voting intentions.
When the rival in the second round is the governor of, (), Lula has 43%, against 37% of the opponent. In January, the score was 43% to 34%. Last December, the difference was much higher: 52% to 26%, respectively, according to Genial/Quaest.
Another governor included in the survey was Ratinho Júnior (PSD), from Paraná. In this simulation, the president has 42%, against 35%.
In a possible second round with the businessman (PRTB), Lula has 44% of voting intentions, and the self-titled former Coach with 35%.
Already the licensed federal deputy (PL) has 34% of voting intentions against 45% of Lula.
The scenario with the governor of Minas Gerais, (Novo), also leads to Lula (43% against 31%). Compared to January survey, however, the governor’s performance has improved. At the time, he had 28% of voting intentions against 45% of the petista.
(União Brasil), who is the governor of Goiás, also saw the index rise. He had 26% of voting intentions in January. In this Thursday survey, the value rose to 30%. Lula had 45% in January and has 44% now.
According to 62% of respondents, Lula should not apply for reelection in 2026. In December, the value was 52%.
Asked about “what gives the most fear today,” if the Lula government’s continuity or Bolsonaro’s return to power, 44% of respondents responded to Fear’s return of the former president, against 41% who quoted Lula. They said they were “fear of both” 6%, and 4% are not afraid of any of them. They did not know or did not answer 5%.
In the intention of voting for president measured spontaneously (without presenting names to the interviewee), Lula was mentioned by 9% of voters, followed by Bolsonaro, with 7%. Most said they were undecided, 80%.
About who should be the right candidate in a scenario without Bolsonaro in the dispute, 15% quoted Tarcisio. He was followed by Michelle Bolsonaro, with 14%, Pablo Marçal, with 11%, and Ratinho Júnior (9%).
Eduardo Bolsonaro, Zema and Caiado tied with 4%. (PSDB), which rules Rio Grande do Sul, had 3%. Answered “None of these” 19%, and 16% did not know or did not answer
The research also evaluated the rejection of the presidential. They said they know and would not vote in Lula 55% of respondents, the same rate as Bolsonaro. Numerically, the biggest rejection was that of Eduardo Bolsonaro, with 56%.
The QUEST survey is funded by Digital Investment Broker Genial Investimentos, controlled by the Genial Bank.
