US stocks, drop in oil price and data from the Brazilian industrial sector are among the topics
World markets are still unstable on Wednesday (9.ab.2025), amid the deterioration of expectations regarding international trade. The implementation of a new round of tariffs by US President Donald Trump (Republican) has raised uncertainties about global growth and pressed various risk assets.
In the US, investors also monitor the first corporate balance sheets of the 2nd quarter and await the release of the minutes of the Fed (Federal Reserve, Central Bank). In Brazil, highlight for industrial production data and retail sales.
1.
The future indexes of US actions operated at the beginning of this 4th (9.abr), after a session marked by strong volatility the day before.
Around 8 am from Brasilia, Dow Jones retreated 1.72% (640 points), while S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 gave 1.44% and 1.11%, respectively, in the future market.
In the previous session, the rates went up with US trading opening rumors, but lost strength after White House officials reaffirmed the imposition of an additional 50% tariff on Chinese products. The measure increases the total tariff load applied to China to 104%. Beijing reacted vehemently and promised to respond to height, which deteriorated the appetite by risk.
The S&P 500 ended the trading session below 5,000 points for the first time in almost 1 year, accumulating losses of over $ 5.8 trillion since the announcement of tariffs on April 2, worse sequence in 4 days since the creation of the index.
Despite the impact on the markets, Trump kept his combative tone and stated that tariffs are necessary to correct commercial imbalances. He also stated that several countries would be willing to negotiate agreements and that conversations with South Korea, Japan and Vietnam are expected to take place in the coming days.
The new round of tariffs against allies and opponents began to be valid this Wednesday (9.abr). The measure expands commercial conflict and increases the synchronized deceleration fears of the global economy. The market remains divided over the real intention of the White House: whether the tariff package will be a temporary pressure instrument or a structural change in US commercial policy.
Traders also point to the risk that, even with punctual agreements, the immediate impact on global prices and production chains is already hired, which makes the coming months even more challenging.
2. Balances on the radar
This Wednesday (9.abr), the market follows the results of Delta Air Lines (BVMF: Deai34) (NYSE: DAL) and Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ). The air has already signaled poor performance in the quarter and should detail the impact of lower demand in the face of macroeconomic deterioration. Constellation, a model controller as a model and pacific, reports its numbers after the closing of markets and can offer clues about consumer behavior against the new price scenario.
Recent data show that the feeling of the US consumer fell in March, reflecting concerns about personal finance, employment and inflation. This combination tends to restrict discretionary spending and expands the possibility of slowdown in consumption, although data so far does not signal an installed recession.
3. Federal Reserve
Investors await the publication of the minutes of the last monetary policy meeting of the scheduled for the afternoon of this 4th (9.abr). Although part of the attention has moved to the trade policy, the document may offer clues about the position of monetary authority in the face of increasing uncertainty.
The US Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged in March, but indicated the possibility of 2 cuts by the end of 2025, even with the revision upwards inflation projections. With the recent escalation in tariffs, analysts evaluate that the Fed may have to act faster if the impact on prices and economic activity gets worse.
4. Petroleum
Petroleum contracts accentuate the losses this Wednesday (9.abr), reaching the lowest levels in more than 4 years. Brent fell 6%, quoted at $ 59.04 per barrel, while WTI fell 6.23%to $ 55.87.
Earlier this week, rumors that the government could pressure Petrobras (BVMF: PETR4) to lower fuel prices, as a result of the fall in oil prices, took the shares of the Company retreat.
The strong devaluation follows the fear of retraction in global demand with the worsening of commercial dispute between the United States and China. Since the announcement of the new tariff package, oil accumulates losses of about 20% – the largest drop in five days since March 2022.
5. Brazil
On the agenda of this 4th (9.abr.2025), investors will follow the performance of the industrial sector and retail in Brazil in February, according to IBGE data.
In January, industrial production was stable compared to December, frustrating market expectations, which projected 0.4%advance. The data reinforced the signs of loss of traction of economic activity. In the annual comparison, there was a growth of 1.4%, while the accumulated in 12 months pointed up 2.9%.
In retailer, sales retreated 0.1% in December to January, contrary to the projection of 0.2%. Still, compared to January 2024, the sector expanded 3.1%, with accumulated advance of 4.7% in 12 months.
Brazilian actives ended yesterday’s trading session under strong pressure, reflecting the worsening of the trade war between the United States and China. Ibovespa fell 1.34%at 123,909 points in the 4 consecutive low trading session, mainly affected by the negative performance of valley (BVMF: Vale3) and Petrobras, with the prices of iron ore and falling oil abroad.
In the interest market, the tax rates advanced throughout the curve, especially the intermediate and long salaries. The movement has followed the high dollar high before the real and the advancement of treasuries’ income, amid the perception that the Fed can be forced to act in the face of the inflationary and recessive impacts of the tariffs. The most adverse external scenario led investors to seek protection, raising the prizes required in future interest contracts.
The dollar ended the day quoted at R $ 5,9985, up 1.49%, renewing maximums since January and accumulating appreciation of more than 5% only in the early days of April. Confirmation of the US tariff 104% of Chinese products accentuated risk aversion and strengthened the dollar against coins of exporting countries of commoditieslike the real.
With information from .
