Russia started 10 days ago a new wave of large -scale bombings in the territory of Ukraine away from the front. In the early morning from Sunday to Monday, 355 drones were launched long -range bomb in a single bombing against Ukraine, a record in the more than three years of war. The previous two nights were also record. In total, in the last three days, the Russian army has shot.
Russia has carried out phases of similar attacks in the more than three years of war with the aim of demoralizing the Ukraine population and punishing the anti -aircraft defenses of the invaded country. This new aerial offensive, as on other past occasions, coincides with the preparations for a great land offensive, which this time the Ukrainian General Staff foreshadows from June.
Nothing indicates that Kremlin intends to seriously negotiate the end of hostilities, according to both kyiv authorities and their allied powers. Even the president of the United States, Donald Trump, until now convinced that Vladimir Putin wanted to sign La Paz, said the Russian president.
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW), Organization of American Military Analysis, indicates in its latest report on the conflict in Ukraine, of May 25, that the main objective is “a prolonged effort to degrade the moral of Ukraine and convince the West that the Russian victory is inevitable.” The ISW has counted that the seven large -scale Russian bombings with more number of drones and missiles have been carried out this year. Of these, four have been in the last 10 days. The number of deaths since Friday exceeds twenty civilians.
The military logic of this Russian air violence phase is explained above all for the invader’s interest in decimting the anti -aircraft defenses, as several high ranges of the Ukraine Air Forces and military analysts have indicated in recent days. The American Center for International and Strategic Studies (CSIS) published a document in May in which Russia is perfecting its mixed long -range bombardment tactics, with massiles and massive amounts of drones “to saturate the Ukrainian defenses and undermine the moral of the population.”
The CSIS emphasizes that Russia is demonstrating how with economic weapons such as long -range drones, combined with missile use, an army can overcome strong anti -aircraft systems. Ukraine periodically punishes military objectives on Russian soil, hundreds of kilometers from its borders, but without counting ballistic or cruise rockets.
Yuri Ignat, director of Communications of the Air Forces, confirmed on Sunday that Russia has made a qualitative leap in the technology of its Shahed drones and its Balistic missiles Iskander, which make them more difficult to intercept. The CSIS estimates that despite the high Ukrainian efficacy to reduce Shahed, these devices now take 10 times more than a year ago.
antiaereas. This forces us to enter into action the combat aircraft of the defending country, putting these precious devices at risk, of which Ukraine has at least ten times less than Russia. The Ukrainian army published the video of an F-16 plane by drone Shahed, something that until this 2025 seemed unnecessary. The Shahed also have a new guided system with artificial intelligence and not through GPS, a system that is easier to disable with radioelectronic weapons.
Another problem for Ukraine is that Russia has triggered the production of bomb drones. An analysis of the last April of the British International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) indicated that the increase in the use of Shahed was 13% monthly. The weekly The Economist He assured in an article this Sunday that if a year ago, Russia produced 300 Shahed in a month, now manages to reach this figure in three days.
Russia has also improved the technology of its most used ballistic missile, Iskander. Ignat said that these missiles now follow a more difficult trajectory to calculate and have new systems that cancel their radar detection. Timofei Milovaniv, former Minister of Economy of Ukraine and one of the most outstanding analysts in the conflict, explained on Monday in their social networks that several military sources have detailed the main inconvenience with the Iskander: “Previously, the trajectory of the ballistic missile could be calculated since its launch. Now, the missile reaches its highest point and [en su descenso] Performs an additional maneuver, making it almost impossible to predict its journey to be intercepted. ”
North Korean missiles
To the Russian arsenal we must add the incorporation in these bombings of tens of. Ignat has admitted that the situation is complex because its American anti -aircraft rockets patriot operate to the limit. One of the arms areas in which the Ukraine dependence on its allies is almost total is in anti -aircraft defenses. kyiv has a few weeks (until July, according to data provided by the Ukrainian government in January) of American weapons. Trump is not in favor, for the moment, to approve new military aid items for Ukraine.
The situation, which would imply severe restrictions in anti -aircraft ammunition, would facilitate the movement of Russian aviation during an offensive in summer, as would also facilitate the long -range destruction of Ukrainian military positions, both logistics and defensive in the front.
Good news for kyiv, as the Dutch government advanced on Sunday, is that this week will complete the shipment of the 24 F-16 that. Another positive sign is that in the Russian attacks of this May it has not been detected that the Ukraine Energy Network is an objective.
Ukraine and Russia agreed last March for a month. In April this truce officially ended, but the truth is that the Russian weapons is not punishing the Ukrainian electricity grid, and the long -range drones Ukrainians are not priming in the Russian oil and gas industry.
Ukrainian drones do continue to periodically point to the Russian military industry. This was in the early hours of Monday, when a hundred Ukrainian -noted aircraft were shot at a military production plant in the Republic of Tatirstan and a chemical factory in the province of Ivanovo.
