The former president () gives a certain conviction in the proceedings about the 2022 and 2023 coup plot in the (Supreme Court), according to reports of allies who have been with him in recent days. O, expected to last until September 12th.
Bolsonaro is in, when investigators and the court identified what would be a risk of escape. According to interlocutors, the former president has shown pessimism and irritation with the process, which deals as a political persecution.
Although they predict a conviction, allies expect the first class of the Supreme not to apply to which it must be imputed to him. The defense is expected to be able to act for the containment of damage and succeed in dosimetry, a moment of defining the time of detention.
A more pronounced reversal of the scenario, in the assessment of pockets, would only be possible with a change in the political environment, which would lead to the approval of an amnesty to the convicts in the January 8 coup attacks, including the former president. Congress, however, remains divided on the subject.
Bolsonaro, attempted violent abolition of the Democratic Rule of Law, coup d’état, damage qualified by violence and serious threat against public assets and deterioration of listed assets.
“If the trial is paved by the strictly legal variable – which is expected – there would be no condemnation. The fundamental is that this judgment is not contaminated by the dangerous binomial of politicization/judicialization of politics,” said lawyer Paulo Cunha Bueno, who is part of Bolsonaro’s defense.
Added, the maximum penalties of the crimes for which the former president is accused exceed 40 years in prison. Allies say they hope that, in discussions of the magistrates of the first class, they will be able to reduce at least ten years. The punishment would still be high, which would leave Bolsonaro in the face of the scenario of few alternatives.
There is still the possibility of one of the class ministers to ask for a view and interrupt the trial for up to 90 days, but allies of the former president do not deposit their chips in this scenario, which would lead to
If the former president is convicted of leading the coup plot, his defense may still appeal-not on merit, but questioning details of the sentence and the process, with. These appeals must be tried by October or November.
An eventual arrest would tend to occur at this time. It would only be anticipated for a pre -trial detention if there is any disrespect, in the understanding of the rapporteur minister of the rules of house arrest.
The pessimism of people near Bolsonaro is the size that is already discussed where he would be arrested: in a military institution, like the general; or in the jail, such as President Lula (PT) at the time of Operation Lava Jato.
There is also the possibility of being sent to a special cell in the Papuda Penitentiary Complex in Brasilia, seen as the least likely scenario by Bolsonaro allies.
People close to the family believe that the Supreme will not disregard the health of the former president. Bolsonaro has faced.
He has been under house arrest since August 4 and only left the place on the 16th, to perform. The bulletin released at the time reported that it continues with treatment for hypertension and reflux and preventive bronchospiration measures.
For people close to the clan, the Supreme Court could keep Bolsonaro under house arrest for health reasons, even in the face of conviction in the coup plot. The final decision will fit Moraes.
The week preceding the trial increased the irritation in the clan, with children of the former president climbing the tone against allies seeking an electoral alternative to the father.
In addition, the rapporteur minister determined that the Federal District Penal Police the former president’s address, expanding the pressure on the family.
According to Moraes, the security measure regarding Bolsonaro is necessary to rule out the risks of the former president to try to escape Brazil on the eve of the trial. The former first lady (PL) said she has.
“With each passing day, the challenge has been huge,” she wrote in a post on social networks. “Resist persecution, deal with uncertainties and endure humiliations,” he added. Michelle said she also believed in victory and quoted God.
This Wednesday (27), Senator Sergio Moro (União Brasil-PR), former minister of Bolsonaro criticized request from director of PF, Andrei Rodrigues, to put police officers surveillance within the former president’s house. He called the request “another climb in the abuse of a household without cause.”
