Will La Niña arrive and change the mood? See what scholars expect

by Andrea
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Climate models indicate that there is a tendency for the emergence of La Niña in the coming months.

The phenomenon should be strengthened by the advance of spring, with 60% chance of formation of La Niña from October 2025, according to the WMO (World Meteorological Organization).

O, with sea surface temperatures near the average. However, this standard should be changed in this second semester.

According to the predictions of the Global WMO forecast production centers, the chances are distributed as follows:

September to November 2025:

  • 55% probability of La Niña formation
  • 45% of probability of maintenance of neutral conditions
  • 0% chance of training an El Niño

October to December 2025:

  • 60% girl’s chance
  • 40% chance of neutrality
  • The child remains discarded

according to NOAA (US atmospheric and ocean administration).

Among the effects of La Niña in Brazil are:

  • Above average rains in the north and northeast of Brazil
  • Higher risk of fires in the Pantanal and the Amazon
  • Drier time in southern Brazil

The effects of La Niña may vary from year to year, according to Climatempo, especially in weak and short -term episodes, as the phenomenon interacts with other atmospheric systems.

*Under air supervision.

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