After violating Polish airspace and performing large -scale military exercises, Russia is haughty in the face of NATO’s rearmament decisions
From Napoleon Bonaparte to Otto von Bismarck, many generals and leaders have always categorically nailed that it is impossible to win. Whether by its monstrous geography or adverse weather conditions, the military and political events that subdued the Russian people were very few. Undeniably, the heroic performance and bravery of the Soviet people, including millions of Russians, during World War II, managed from the common ditches of Stalingrad Renascer and giving allies the fundamental victory against the Nazis.
Post-war militaristic rhetoric and arms race during the Cold War brought to Moscow one of the most feared and powerful armies in the world, an enviable arsenal and the largest amount of . In the collapse of the Soviet Union, the Russian Federation substantially inherited the Soviet military power and under Putin’s command, saw technological advances to be consistently reached.
In a scenario of great wear after a long war, the Russian state budget has increasingly intended for the defense sector. Russian superiority in the area of tanks and armored was still maintained, as well as both towed and self -propelled artillery competitiveness and rocket launchers. The centralization of political power has facilitated the allocation of higher funds for the national war industry, more quickly mobilizing financial resources for weapons production and the enlistment of young people from various regions.
Of all strengths, obviously nuclear arsenal is the most relevant element, being the most important deterrent mechanism used against NATO countries to its entrono. According to the latest data there are 5977 total russian nuclear warheads, 1550 active strategies in intercontinental ballistic missiles, submarines and 2700 in reserve and 1200 retired, numbers very close to NATO’s nuclear arsenal, in the 5800 total warheads range.
Despite constant investments and the undeniable nuclear force, there are many technical aspects that have Russian disadvantage compared to their Western opponents. The number of available combat aircraft turns out to be about 25% of the NATO amount, representing a lower air capacity to operate globally. The same is valid for naval capacity when compared to about 800 Russian military ships against 2200 Western, plus only 1 Russian aircraft carrier against at least 14 NATO.
Leaving only gross numbers in the Armed Forces, the technological level and access to the most modern satellite systems, it turns out to be another negative point for Moscow. The 32 NATO member countries, regardless of their economic size or power, have access to the most advanced satellite systems that guarantee safer communications, promoting the stealth operation of stealth aircraft, sensor updating and including modern artificial intelligence in any military operations. As much as Russia also invests in this sector, the economic and scientific sanctions applied to the country make some technologies inaccessible to the Russians and unfeasible their short -term obtaining.
Another fundamental factor is the number of active military personnel. Russia has about 1.3 million active soldiers and at least 2 million more in the reserve according to the most up -to -date data. However, the lack of transparency over the casuals in the Ukraine war, considered by many military analysts a war of high lethality to both sides, makes the real numbers different. NATO in the sum of its member countries would have at least 3.4 million active soldiers and another 4.3 million in the reserve, also giving western numerical superiority.
Despite all these data and considerations, it is important to note either in conventional combat on European soil, especially near its borders, in historically very familiar land for Russians, their military capacity is significant. Including tanks, armored, artillery and medium range missiles and the strong doctrine of Russian mobilization in a scenario of growing nationalism, the probabilities of success in a locally limited conflict are great. In a branched war horizon for various regions and large cities, Russian refueling capabilities and the high costs of war would represent an extremely difficult challenge to overcome.
Mathematical projections, geopolitical calculations and historical analysis can through numerous data outline perspectives and point out winners, but it would be in the noscopic size of atoms that would measure the likelihood of defeat and victory not only of those involved, but of all humanity.
*This text does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the young Pan.