Management () has accumulated a collection of favorable political situations, including the departure of the defensive in the relationship with Congress, which made it possible to reverse the climate observed just three months ago, of government given as finished and unlikely reelection.
The so far bottom of Lula 3 well began to be designed in January when the Ministry of Finance had to retreat to a measure that it considered correct because of the PIX that exceeded the 300 million views, passed the following month, and culminated with almost 400 votes in the House on June 25.
On this day, the climate in Congress was bewy and opposition governors celebrating the application of one of the biggest defeats to Lula with the mass support of parties that controlled 11 ministries.
It was the first time in 30 years that a presidential decree was overthrown by congressional vote.
In the previous defeats Lula always sought to contemporary and say that the relationship of government and congress was like that, even by the minority left in the House and in.
But the humiliation suffered in the case of IOF had another answer.
The government called the (Supreme Court) and was able to recover part of the decrees through decisions of.
In the political field, the PT began to sponsor in the networks a strong offensive with the motto, with videos produced by artificial intelligence and which targeted the congress, centrão and opposition, brought as defenders of millionaires and privileges to the detriment of the interests of the people.
The successful initiative took the government out of the strings for the first time on social networks, placing the opposition and the center, which insisted on another motto, that of “no one can handle more imposed on the defensive.
So much so that the slope of the centrão was collected at the time of overthrowing the entire proposal of compensation of the government – elevation of the taxation of the richest – to.
At the same time, on July 9, the announcement by the government of Donald Trump da Balan further rocked the national political chess.
The offensive against Brazilian economic interests allowed Lula and PT to resume the defense of national sovereignty and green and yellow colors, almost exclusive possession of pockets for years. The performance of the former president’s family for sanctions also entered the speech and the ruling campaign in the line of stamping the Bolsonaros as the parents of the tariff.
The USA-Brazil clash also called the main bet to defeat Lula in 2026 (Republicans).
The governor of adopted an initial erratic reaction under the impact of the crisis and, as he recently manifested.
Among other reasons, he would evaluate that the use of one on Brazil’s Independence Day – and at the time the country is targeted by tariffs – will be widely explored by petistas in the campaign, as well as Lula’s participation in.
Although the Brazilian had the criticism of Trump, at the meeting in New York the week he spent the two presidents talked briefly, an episode that was described in a sympathy for the American, according to “an excellent chemistry” between the two.
The trip to offensive in relation to Congress allowed Lula in July a hitherto unusual attitude in his third term to directly confront the main leaders in Congress – he contradicted guidance from the leadership of his political articulation and the number of federal deputies.
The positive tide to Lula also coincided with house arrest and then in the electoral arena, the former president (PL), in September.
In the current month, Lula also saw the recovery of part of his popularity. Datafolha showed that amid the trial of the coup plot and attacks, the approval of the government, the best index of the year, approaching the disapproval of 38%.
In February, the month when he reached the worst mark of his three administrations, only 24% approved the government, against rejection of 41%.
Already last weekend, against the amnesty proposal to Bolsonaro and the so -called PEC of armor. The bill was filed by the Senate after the negative repercussion and street protests, representing an extra wear to the House and Centrão.
Unlike months ago, the government sees facilitated the process of the congress of the package of measures that should compose the combo of the candidacy for the petista’s reelection.
Last week, Congress approved, on the last day of the deadline, and “”, Lula’s main bet to get a strong mark in the area of.
In the coming days, the House, Lula’s electoral promise in 2022 and must be one of his electoral flags next year.
“They underestimated Lula, he is president for the third time, has capacity, political experience. Government results were already good and now we have deflation in the price of food, dollar falling, and the very fragile opposition, without project, with antipopular guidelines such as amnesty and armor,” says the PT leader in the House, (RJ). “Lula and the government knew how to use it very well to turn the game.”
Already the leader of the House, (RJ), says that the trend in Congress remains that of the center-right parties abandon the government in the coming months. “Light recovery for me is due to the drop in the price of rice and beans, the light improvement in supermarket prices.”
“The government, through the ‘coalition judicialism’, with its ministers committing the dictatorship of Toga, closing, he is using this whole machine along with the STF to suffocate and place public opinion against Congress,” says Deputy Cabo Gilberto Silva (PL-PB).
