The Italian center -right government of, and also the opposition, face a demanding electoral autumn in which their forces will be able to measure in a revealing way, the first major evidence in a long final stretch towards the general elections of 2027. There are six regional elections in two months and in the first, held this Sunday and this Monday in the brands, which were the most uncertain, the winner has been the coalition of Meloni.
After the closure of the schools at 15.00, with half of the scrutiny carried out, it has been confirmed that the Centroderecha Center, Francesco Acquaroli, a trusted man of the leader of the brothers of Italy, has repeated mandate. In the afternoon he had obtained 52% of the votes, compared to 44% of his rival, Matteo Ricci, who may have damaged a judicial investigation against him, emerged in the middle of the campaign, for allegedly favored associations in his previous stage as mayor of regret. As is happening in recent years, a fact to consider is the low participation: it has only come to vote 50% of the electorate, almost ten points less than the previous time.
Acquaroli revalidated the victory of five years ago, which ended with a long tradition of leftist governments. Then, in 2020, it was one of the first signs of a cycle change, which culminated in the historic victory of the ultra -right leader in the generals of 2022. The region was then considered a kind of Italian Ohio, in reference to the US state that usually reflects the results nationwide, because it predicted what was coming. This time what the polls have said is that the Meloni government continues to have the majority. His party has been the most voted, with 27%, five points more than the Democratic Party (PD), the main opposition.
The Prime Minister, who had come in person to support her candidate for several rallies, can breathe relieved. After three years of government, it still does not give significant signals of wear, and in the polls it remains stable. But I didn’t have them all with them, because the last weeks have been complicated, with their, their notable mobilizations on the street against Israel’s offensive. A victory of the opposition would have made some alarms jump.
These elections are also important in the general picture because a triumph of the PD coalition of Elly Schlein, by Giuseppe Conte and other leftist formations would have put in his favor, with a 1-0, a marker in which they hope to win in three of the remaining five appointments. That is, they dreamed with a final 4-2, a strong sign of change. But now the forecasts are a 3-3, as if nothing moved at the bottom.
That is why now the problem is rather for Schlein, than. Since she was chosen in the 2023 primaries she has done a difficult job to assemble a solid centering coalition that she can overcome in the generals, since the previous ones lost them, essentially, for having come divided to the appointment. It has been growing as a leader, among the usual internal conspression, and achieved, with 24% of the votes, after the poor 19% obtained by the PD in the generals. The center -left, already in coalition, also won last year the regional of Sardinia and Umbria. Now, although the triumph in the brands would have been held as a decisive milestone, the left can take away importance to defeat claiming that it was actually a difficult challenge and had to try.
The electoral calendar continues next weekend in Calabria and the next, in Toscana. Finally, on November 23 and 24 it will vote in Campania, Apulia and Véneto. This Sunday there were also elections in Valle de Aosta, but it is a separate case in this long electoral contest. In this small alpine region with a special statute the national keys do not work and the Union Valdôtaine autonomist formation was imposed with 31.7% of the votes, which will govern with a center -left coalition.
